{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":681339.03,"volume_24hr":935.16,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.8059663772583,"normalized_volume":45.68500518798828,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":303571.09,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Karen Bass, 4-8%","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":187.03,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:20:28.419217Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:20:28.419217Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","chart_24h":[748.14,561.11,748.14,935.16],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P6","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P6","question":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 4% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Karen Bass, 4-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 4% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Karen Bass minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Karen Bass minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Karen Bass wins, or the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Karen Bass does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Karen Bass will be summed.\n\nIf Karen Bass wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Karen Bass loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Karen Bass is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","volume":194491.05,"volume_24hr":187.03,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":187.03,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.574970245361328,"normalized_volume":43.182559967041016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T04:42:37.772574Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T04:41:26.592144Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Karen Bass, 8-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 8% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Karen Bass minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Karen Bass minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Karen Bass wins, or the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Karen Bass does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Karen Bass will be summed.\n\nIf Karen Bass wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Karen Bass loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Karen Bass is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","volume":95245.14,"volume_24hr":654.62,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-93.51999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.153199195861816,"normalized_volume":38.2679328918457,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:21:49.073218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:20:28.521674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 0% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Karen Bass, 0-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Karen Bass minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Karen Bass minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Karen Bass wins, or the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Karen Bass does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Karen Bass will be summed.\n\nIf Karen Bass wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Karen Bass loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Karen Bass is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","volume":107853.42,"volume_24hr":93.51,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":93.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.47007417678833,"normalized_volume":39.102386474609375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:21:49.073218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:20:28.521674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P14","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P14","question":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 12% and 16%?","group_item_title":"Karen Bass, 12-16%","description":"If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 12% to 16%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Karen Bass minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Karen Bass minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Karen Bass wins, or the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Karen Bass does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Karen Bass will be summed.\n\nIf Karen Bass wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Karen Bass loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Karen Bass is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","volume":24320.54,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.697019577026367,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T09:15:00.809842Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-19T12:24:58.499444Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P18","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P18","question":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 16% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Karen Bass, 16-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 16% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Karen Bass minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Karen Bass minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Karen Bass wins, or the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Karen Bass does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Karen Bass will be summed.\n\nIf Karen Bass wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Karen Bass loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Karen Bass is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","volume":16908.36,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.597736358642578,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T08:35:43.876719Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-19T12:24:58.499444Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 20%?","group_item_title":"Karen Bass, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Karen Bass minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Karen Bass minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Karen Bass wins, or the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Karen Bass does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Karen Bass will be summed.\n\nIf Karen Bass wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Karen Bass loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Karen Bass is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","volume":26556.37,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.21648597717285,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T13:36:35.253133Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-19T12:24:58.499444Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Nithya Raman, 8-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 8% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Nithya Raman minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Nithya Raman minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Nithya Raman minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Nithya Raman wins, or the electoral votes received by Nithya Raman minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Nithya Raman does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Nithya Raman will be summed.\n\nIf Nithya Raman wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Nithya Raman loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Nithya Raman is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","volume":4468.73,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.569799423217773,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T10:32:49.635009Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T08:49:31.940001Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P14","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P14","question":"Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 12% and 16%?","group_item_title":"Nithya Raman, 12-16%","description":"If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 12% to 16%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Nithya Raman minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Nithya Raman minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Nithya Raman minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Nithya Raman wins, or the electoral votes received by Nithya Raman minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Nithya Raman does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Nithya Raman will be summed.\n\nIf Nithya Raman wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Nithya Raman loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Nithya Raman is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","volume":2377.43,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.597742080688477,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T06:00:38.334068Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T03:26:38.669533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P18","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P18","question":"Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 16% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Nithya Raman, 16-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 16% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Nithya Raman minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Nithya Raman minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Nithya Raman minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Nithya Raman wins, or the electoral votes received by Nithya Raman minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Nithya Raman does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Nithya Raman will be summed.\n\nIf Nithya Raman wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Nithya Raman loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Nithya Raman is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","volume":2501.24,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.828229904174805,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T03:25:59.967353Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T03:26:38.669533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 0% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Nithya Raman, 0-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Nithya Raman minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Nithya Raman minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Nithya Raman minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Nithya Raman wins, or the electoral votes received by Nithya Raman minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Nithya Raman does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Nithya Raman will be summed.\n\nIf Nithya Raman wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Nithya Raman loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Nithya Raman is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","volume":18599.29,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.14073371887207,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T10:32:49.635009Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T08:04:58.626369Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P6","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P6","question":"Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 4% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Nithya Raman, 4-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 4% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Nithya Raman minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Nithya Raman minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Nithya Raman minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Nithya Raman wins, or the electoral votes received by Nithya Raman minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Nithya Raman does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Nithya Raman will be summed.\n\nIf Nithya Raman wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Nithya Raman loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Nithya Raman is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","volume":12839.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.059186935424805,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:54:56.409621Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:03:26.319962Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 20%?","group_item_title":"Nithya Raman, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Nithya Raman minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Nithya Raman minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Nithya Raman minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Nithya Raman wins, or the electoral votes received by Nithya Raman minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Nithya Raman does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Nithya Raman will be summed.\n\nIf Nithya Raman wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Nithya Raman loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Nithya Raman is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","volume":2172.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.191226959228516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T08:35:43.876719Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T03:26:38.669533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-SPRA-P50","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-SPRA-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Spencer Pratt wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Spencer Pratt minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Spencer Pratt if Spencer Pratt wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Spencer Pratt loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Spencer Pratt minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Spencer Pratt if Spencer Pratt wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Spencer Pratt loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Spencer Pratt minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Spencer Pratt wins, or the electoral votes received by Spencer Pratt minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Spencer Pratt does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Spencer Pratt runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Spencer Pratt will be summed.\n\nIf Spencer Pratt wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Spencer Pratt loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Spencer Pratt ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Spencer Pratt is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-27T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-09T00:11:41Z","volume":173005.99,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.356388092041016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:21:31.545681Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T23:53:36.231643Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/los-angeles-mayoral-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mayorla2026","event_title":"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","as_of":"2026-06-21T13:54:20.787229Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory\" — top market at 1% probability across 13 outcomes","source_url":null}}