{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26","title":"MD-05 Democratic primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:09:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1016.59,"volume_24hr":1016.59,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.655510902404785,"normalized_volume":11.971922874450684,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":816.59,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"MDPRIMARY05D26","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Adrian Boafo, ≥9%","top_outcome_probability":0.66,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.66,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":729.59,"updated_at":"2026-06-23T06:56:55.639006Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T06:56:55.639006Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.673146Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/md-05-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mdprimary05d26","chart_24h":[0.0,700.0,987.0,1016.59],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P54","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P54","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary be above 9%?","group_item_title":"Adrian Boafo, ≥9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adrian Boafo minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo wins, or the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adrian Boafo runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adrian Boafo will be summed.\n\nIf Adrian Boafo wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adrian Boafo loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adrian Boafo ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adrian Boafo is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.33999999999999997],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:09:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":729.59,"volume_24hr":729.59,"prob_24h_change":0.66,"volume_24h_change":729.59,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.04044246673584,"normalized_volume":12.719520568847656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T06:58:32.808901Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T06:56:55.754205Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/md-05-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mdprimary05d26","event_title":"MD-05 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.67,0.67,0.66]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P59","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P59","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary be above 18%?","group_item_title":"Adrian Boafo, ≥18%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary falls within 18% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adrian Boafo minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo wins, or the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adrian Boafo runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adrian Boafo will be summed.\n\nIf Adrian Boafo wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adrian Boafo loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adrian Boafo ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adrian Boafo is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:09:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":175.0,"volume_24hr":175.0,"prob_24h_change":0.19,"volume_24h_change":175.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.633060455322266,"normalized_volume":7.820863246917725,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T01:19:29.551844Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T01:19:29.551844Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/md-05-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mdprimary05d26","event_title":"MD-05 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.19,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary be above 21%?","group_item_title":"Adrian Boafo, ≥21%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary falls within 21% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adrian Boafo minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo wins, or the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adrian Boafo runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adrian Boafo will be summed.\n\nIf Adrian Boafo wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adrian Boafo loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adrian Boafo ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adrian Boafo is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:09:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":112.0,"volume_24hr":112.0,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":112.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.216802597045898,"normalized_volume":6.53784704208374,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T01:19:29.551844Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T01:19:29.551844Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/md-05-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mdprimary05d26","event_title":"MD-05 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P51","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P51","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary be above 3%?","group_item_title":"Adrian Boafo, ≥3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adrian Boafo minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo wins, or the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adrian Boafo runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adrian Boafo will be summed.\n\nIf Adrian Boafo wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adrian Boafo loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adrian Boafo ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adrian Boafo is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:09:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T07:49:48.632952Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T07:49:48.632952Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/md-05-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mdprimary05d26","event_title":"MD-05 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P53","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P53","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary be above 6%?","group_item_title":"Adrian Boafo, ≥6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adrian Boafo minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo wins, or the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adrian Boafo runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adrian Boafo will be summed.\n\nIf Adrian Boafo wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adrian Boafo loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adrian Boafo ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adrian Boafo is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:09:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T06:56:55.754205Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T06:56:55.754205Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/md-05-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mdprimary05d26","event_title":"MD-05 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P56","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P56","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary be above 12%?","group_item_title":"Adrian Boafo, ≥12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adrian Boafo minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo wins, or the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adrian Boafo runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adrian Boafo will be summed.\n\nIf Adrian Boafo wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adrian Boafo loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adrian Boafo ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adrian Boafo is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:09:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T06:56:55.754205Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T06:56:55.754205Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/md-05-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mdprimary05d26","event_title":"MD-05 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26-ABOA-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Adrian Boafo, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adrian Boafo in the 2026 MD-05 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adrian Boafo minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adrian Boafo if Adrian Boafo wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adrian Boafo loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo wins, or the electoral votes received by Adrian Boafo minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adrian Boafo does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adrian Boafo runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adrian Boafo will be summed.\n\nIf Adrian Boafo wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adrian Boafo loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adrian Boafo ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adrian Boafo is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:09:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T05:36:54.567964Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T05:36:54.567964Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/md-05-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mdprimary05d26","event_title":"MD-05 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-MDPRIMARY05D26","as_of":"2026-06-23T10:55:49.362727Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"MD-05 Democratic primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 66% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}