{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2975.0,"volume_24hr":2975.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.38409423828125,"normalized_volume":17.270910263061523,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2875.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Donavan McKinney, ≥15%","top_outcome_probability":0.21,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":400.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-04T00:27:01.448400Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T00:27:01.448400Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.725843Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","chart_24h":[300.0,302.0,1902.0,1902.0,2902.0,2902.0,2975.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-DMCK-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-DMCK-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Donavan McKinney in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Donavan McKinney, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Donavan McKinney in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Donavan McKinney minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Donavan McKinney if Donavan McKinney wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Donavan McKinney loses. If Donavan McKinney wins, the margin will be positive; if Donavan McKinney loses, the margin will be negative; if Donavan McKinney ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Donavan McKinney runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":700.0,"volume_24hr":700.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":400.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.072420120239258,"normalized_volume":13.365785598754883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T22:00:55.180236Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T22:00:55.180236Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.945242Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","event_title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-DMCK-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-DMCK-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Donavan McKinney in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Donavan McKinney, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Donavan McKinney in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Donavan McKinney minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Donavan McKinney if Donavan McKinney wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Donavan McKinney loses. If Donavan McKinney wins, the margin will be positive; if Donavan McKinney loses, the margin will be negative; if Donavan McKinney ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Donavan McKinney runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":400.0,"volume_24hr":400.0,"prob_24h_change":0.17,"volume_24h_change":400.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.12269115447998,"normalized_volume":11.184260368347168,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T23:03:49.792146Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T23:03:49.792146Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.945242Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","event_title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.17,0.17,0.17]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-DMCK-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-DMCK-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Donavan McKinney in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Donavan McKinney, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Donavan McKinney in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Donavan McKinney minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Donavan McKinney if Donavan McKinney wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Donavan McKinney loses. If Donavan McKinney wins, the margin will be positive; if Donavan McKinney loses, the margin will be negative; if Donavan McKinney ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Donavan McKinney runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":600.0,"volume_24hr":600.0,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":600.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.233379364013672,"normalized_volume":12.745257377624512,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T23:03:49.792146Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T23:03:49.792146Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.945242Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","event_title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-STHA-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-STHA-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Shri Thanedar in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Shri Thanedar, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Shri Thanedar in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Shri Thanedar minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Shri Thanedar if Shri Thanedar wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Shri Thanedar loses. If Shri Thanedar wins, the margin will be positive; if Shri Thanedar loses, the margin will be negative; if Shri Thanedar ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Shri Thanedar runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":73.0,"volume_24hr":73.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":73.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.797562599182129,"normalized_volume":5.766828536987305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T00:29:40.974590Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T00:27:01.623515Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.945242Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","event_title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-STHA-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-STHA-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Shri Thanedar in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Shri Thanedar, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Shri Thanedar in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Shri Thanedar minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Shri Thanedar if Shri Thanedar wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Shri Thanedar loses. If Shri Thanedar wins, the margin will be positive; if Shri Thanedar loses, the margin will be negative; if Shri Thanedar ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Shri Thanedar runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.508030891418457,"normalized_volume":0.3757234513759613,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T16:20:39.704096Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T16:17:09.457458Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.945242Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","event_title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-STHA-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-STHA-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Shri Thanedar in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Shri Thanedar, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Shri Thanedar in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Shri Thanedar minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Shri Thanedar if Shri Thanedar wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Shri Thanedar loses. If Shri Thanedar wins, the margin will be positive; if Shri Thanedar loses, the margin will be negative; if Shri Thanedar ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Shri Thanedar runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":400.0,"volume_24hr":400.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":400.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.12269115447998,"normalized_volume":11.184260368347168,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T19:06:14.848165Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T19:03:22.328708Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.945242Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","event_title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-STHA-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-STHA-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Shri Thanedar in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Shri Thanedar, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Shri Thanedar in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Shri Thanedar minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Shri Thanedar if Shri Thanedar wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Shri Thanedar loses. If Shri Thanedar wins, the margin will be positive; if Shri Thanedar loses, the margin will be negative; if Shri Thanedar ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Shri Thanedar runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":800.0,"volume_24hr":800.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":800.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.815505981445312,"normalized_volume":13.915348052978516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T19:06:14.848165Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T19:03:22.328708Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.945242Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","event_title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-DMCK-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-DMCK-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Donavan McKinney in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Donavan McKinney, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Donavan McKinney in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Donavan McKinney minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Donavan McKinney if Donavan McKinney wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Donavan McKinney loses. If Donavan McKinney wins, the margin will be positive; if Donavan McKinney loses, the margin will be negative; if Donavan McKinney ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Donavan McKinney runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T20:17:49.834606Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T20:17:49.834606Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.945242Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","event_title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-DMCK-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-DMCK-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Donavan McKinney in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Donavan McKinney, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Donavan McKinney in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Donavan McKinney minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Donavan McKinney if Donavan McKinney wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Donavan McKinney loses. If Donavan McKinney wins, the margin will be positive; if Donavan McKinney loses, the margin will be negative; if Donavan McKinney ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Donavan McKinney runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T19:18:34.326168Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T19:18:34.326168Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.945242Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","event_title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-DMCK-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-DMCK-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Donavan McKinney in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Donavan McKinney, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Donavan McKinney in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Donavan McKinney minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Donavan McKinney if Donavan McKinney wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Donavan McKinney loses. If Donavan McKinney wins, the margin will be positive; if Donavan McKinney loses, the margin will be negative; if Donavan McKinney ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Donavan McKinney runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T20:17:49.834606Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T20:17:49.834606Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.945242Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","event_title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-STHA-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-STHA-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Shri Thanedar in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Shri Thanedar, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Shri Thanedar in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Shri Thanedar minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Shri Thanedar if Shri Thanedar wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Shri Thanedar loses. If Shri Thanedar wins, the margin will be positive; if Shri Thanedar loses, the margin will be negative; if Shri Thanedar ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Shri Thanedar runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T19:03:22.328708Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T19:03:22.328708Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.945242Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","event_title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-STHA-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26-STHA-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Shri Thanedar in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Shri Thanedar, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Shri Thanedar in the 2026 MI-13 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Shri Thanedar minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Shri Thanedar if Shri Thanedar wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Shri Thanedar loses. If Shri Thanedar wins, the margin will be positive; if Shri Thanedar loses, the margin will be negative; if Shri Thanedar ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Shri Thanedar runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T15:20:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-03T19:03:22.328708Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-03T19:03:22.328708Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T15:32:16.945242Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mi-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mi13d26","event_title":"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-MI13D26","as_of":"2026-08-04T02:51:33.690702Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 1% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}