{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1140.18,"volume_24hr":1139.18,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.61017417907715,"normalized_volume":11.074113845825195,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1139.18,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Wesley Bell, 6-9%","top_outcome_probability":0.71,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.6499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":340.77,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T16:07:10.447567Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T16:07:10.447567Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.845327Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","chart_24h":[1.0,1140.18,1139.18],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-WBEL-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-WBEL-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Wesley Bell in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Wesley Bell, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Wesley Bell in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Wesley Bell minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Wesley Bell if Wesley Bell wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Wesley Bell loses. If Wesley Bell wins, the margin will be positive; if Wesley Bell loses, the margin will be negative; if Wesley Bell ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Wesley Bell runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.71,0.29000000000000004],"probability":0.71,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":342.77,"volume_24hr":341.77,"prob_24h_change":0.6499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":340.77,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.018210411071777,"normalized_volume":8.875789642333984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T16:09:08.338206Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T16:07:10.587438Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.978482Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-WBEL-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-WBEL-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Wesley Bell in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Wesley Bell, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Wesley Bell in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Wesley Bell minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Wesley Bell if Wesley Bell wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Wesley Bell loses. If Wesley Bell wins, the margin will be positive; if Wesley Bell loses, the margin will be negative; if Wesley Bell ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Wesley Bell runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":246.59,"volume_24hr":246.59,"prob_24h_change":0.2,"volume_24h_change":246.59,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.607691764831543,"normalized_volume":7.9062066078186035,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.978482Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-WBEL-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-WBEL-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Wesley Bell in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Wesley Bell, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Wesley Bell in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Wesley Bell minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Wesley Bell if Wesley Bell wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Wesley Bell loses. If Wesley Bell wins, the margin will be positive; if Wesley Bell loses, the margin will be negative; if Wesley Bell ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Wesley Bell runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":254.2,"volume_24hr":254.2,"prob_24h_change":0.19,"volume_24h_change":254.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.735551834106445,"normalized_volume":7.993294715881348,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.978482Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-WBEL-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-WBEL-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Wesley Bell in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Wesley Bell, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Wesley Bell in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Wesley Bell minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Wesley Bell if Wesley Bell wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Wesley Bell loses. If Wesley Bell wins, the margin will be positive; if Wesley Bell loses, the margin will be negative; if Wesley Bell ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Wesley Bell runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":296.62,"volume_24hr":296.62,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":296.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.395817756652832,"normalized_volume":8.443013191223145,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.978482Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-CBUS-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-CBUS-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Cori Bush, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Cori Bush minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cori Bush if Cori Bush wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cori Bush loses. If Cori Bush wins, the margin will be positive; if Cori Bush loses, the margin will be negative; if Cori Bush ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Cori Bush runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.978482Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-CBUS-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-CBUS-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Cori Bush, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Cori Bush minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cori Bush if Cori Bush wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cori Bush loses. If Cori Bush wins, the margin will be positive; if Cori Bush loses, the margin will be negative; if Cori Bush ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Cori Bush runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.978482Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-CBUS-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-CBUS-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Cori Bush, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Cori Bush minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cori Bush if Cori Bush wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cori Bush loses. If Cori Bush wins, the margin will be positive; if Cori Bush loses, the margin will be negative; if Cori Bush ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Cori Bush runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.978482Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-CBUS-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-CBUS-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Cori Bush, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Cori Bush minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cori Bush if Cori Bush wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cori Bush loses. If Cori Bush wins, the margin will be positive; if Cori Bush loses, the margin will be negative; if Cori Bush ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Cori Bush runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.978482Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-CBUS-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-CBUS-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Cori Bush, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Cori Bush minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cori Bush if Cori Bush wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cori Bush loses. If Cori Bush wins, the margin will be positive; if Cori Bush loses, the margin will be negative; if Cori Bush ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Cori Bush runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.978482Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-CBUS-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-CBUS-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Cori Bush, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Cori Bush minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cori Bush if Cori Bush wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cori Bush loses. If Cori Bush wins, the margin will be positive; if Cori Bush loses, the margin will be negative; if Cori Bush ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Cori Bush runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T15:39:46.482496Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.978482Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-WBEL-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-WBEL-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Wesley Bell in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Wesley Bell, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Wesley Bell in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Wesley Bell minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Wesley Bell if Wesley Bell wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Wesley Bell loses. If Wesley Bell wins, the margin will be positive; if Wesley Bell loses, the margin will be negative; if Wesley Bell ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Wesley Bell runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T13:34:06.921463Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T13:34:06.921463Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.978482Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-WBEL-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26-WBEL-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Wesley Bell in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Wesley Bell, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Wesley Bell in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Wesley Bell minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Wesley Bell if Wesley Bell wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Wesley Bell loses. If Wesley Bell wins, the margin will be positive; if Wesley Bell loses, the margin will be negative; if Wesley Bell ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Wesley Bell runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:43:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T13:34:06.921463Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T13:34:06.921463Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:46:43.978482Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-mo01d26","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-MO01D26","as_of":"2026-07-25T16:27:51.185573Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 71% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}