{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","title":"NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T17:02:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1242.75,"volume_24hr":1242.75,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.434194564819336,"normalized_volume":13.212340354919434,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":816.1899999999999,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Brad Lander, 35-40%","top_outcome_probability":0.21,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.21,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":41.26,"updated_at":"2026-06-17T02:58:12.255111Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T02:58:12.255111Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:09:31.892273Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-10-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny10d26","chart_24h":[0.0,65.84,914.12,915.12,1242.75],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P37","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P37","question":"Will the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary be between 35% and 40%?","group_item_title":"Brad Lander, 35-40%","description":"If the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary falls within 35% to 40%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Brad Lander minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Brad Lander minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Brad Lander wins, or the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Brad Lander does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Brad Lander runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Brad Lander will be summed.\n\nIf Brad Lander wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Brad Lander loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Brad Lander ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Brad Lander is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T17:02:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":41.26,"volume_24hr":41.26,"prob_24h_change":0.21,"volume_24h_change":41.26,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.900578498840332,"normalized_volume":4.0811333656311035,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T03:00:18.468798Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T02:58:12.491503Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:09:32.011203Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-10-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny10d26","event_title":"NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P22","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P22","question":"Will the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary be between 20% and 25%?","group_item_title":"Brad Lander, 20-25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary falls within 20% to 25%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Brad Lander minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Brad Lander minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Brad Lander wins, or the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Brad Lander does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Brad Lander runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Brad Lander will be summed.\n\nIf Brad Lander wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Brad Lander loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Brad Lander ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Brad Lander is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T17:02:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":319.39,"volume_24hr":319.39,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":319.39,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.638440132141113,"normalized_volume":9.692330360412598,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T03:00:18.468798Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T02:58:12.491503Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:09:32.011203Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-10-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny10d26","event_title":"NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P27","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P27","question":"Will the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary be between 25% and 30%?","group_item_title":"Brad Lander, 25-30%","description":"If the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary falls within 25% to 30%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Brad Lander minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Brad Lander minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Brad Lander wins, or the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Brad Lander does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Brad Lander runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Brad Lander will be summed.\n\nIf Brad Lander wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Brad Lander loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Brad Lander ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Brad Lander is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T17:02:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":329.49,"volume_24hr":329.49,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":329.49,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.763996124267578,"normalized_volume":9.796891212463379,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T02:46:33.593751Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T02:44:23.855799Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:09:32.011203Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-10-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny10d26","event_title":"NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P32","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P32","question":"Will the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary be between 30% and 35%?","group_item_title":"Brad Lander, 30-35%","description":"If the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary falls within 30% to 35%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Brad Lander minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Brad Lander minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Brad Lander wins, or the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Brad Lander does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Brad Lander runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Brad Lander will be summed.\n\nIf Brad Lander wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Brad Lander loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Brad Lander ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Brad Lander is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T17:02:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":396.54,"volume_24hr":396.54,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":396.54,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.525174140930176,"normalized_volume":10.430789947509766,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T03:00:18.468798Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T02:58:12.491503Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:09:32.011203Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-10-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny10d26","event_title":"NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P17","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P17","question":"Will the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary be between 15% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Brad Lander, 15-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Brad Lander minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Brad Lander minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Brad Lander wins, or the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Brad Lander does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Brad Lander runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Brad Lander will be summed.\n\nIf Brad Lander wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Brad Lander loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Brad Lander ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Brad Lander is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T17:02:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":130.23,"volume_24hr":130.23,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":130.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.315903663635254,"normalized_volume":6.925368309020996,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T03:00:18.468798Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T02:58:12.491503Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:09:32.011203Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-10-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny10d26","event_title":"NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Brad Lander, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Brad Lander minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Brad Lander minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Brad Lander wins, or the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Brad Lander does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Brad Lander runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Brad Lander will be summed.\n\nIf Brad Lander wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Brad Lander loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Brad Lander ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Brad Lander is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T17:02:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":20.84,"volume_24hr":20.84,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":20.84,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.324826240539551,"normalized_volume":2.768868923187256,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T19:40:27.610403Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T19:40:27.610403Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:09:32.011203Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-10-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny10d26","event_title":"NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P72","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P72","question":"Will the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary be above 45%?","group_item_title":"Brad Lander, ≥45%","description":"If the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary falls within 45% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Brad Lander minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Brad Lander minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Brad Lander wins, or the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Brad Lander does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Brad Lander runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Brad Lander will be summed.\n\nIf Brad Lander wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Brad Lander loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Brad Lander ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Brad Lander is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T17:02:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":4.0,"volume_24hr":4.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":4.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.9056512713432312,"normalized_volume":0.7542137503623962,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T19:42:06.447466Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T19:40:27.610403Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:09:32.011203Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-10-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny10d26","event_title":"NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Brad Lander, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Brad Lander minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Brad Lander minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Brad Lander wins, or the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Brad Lander does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Brad Lander runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Brad Lander will be summed.\n\nIf Brad Lander wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Brad Lander loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Brad Lander ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Brad Lander is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T17:02:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.167982280254364,"normalized_volume":0.1398933082818985,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:29.467077Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T23:19:29.467077Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:09:32.011203Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-10-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny10d26","event_title":"NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P42","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P42","question":"Will the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary be between 40% and 45%?","group_item_title":"Brad Lander, 40-45%","description":"If the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary falls within 40% to 45%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Brad Lander minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Brad Lander minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Brad Lander wins, or the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Brad Lander does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Brad Lander runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Brad Lander will be summed.\n\nIf Brad Lander wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Brad Lander loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Brad Lander ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Brad Lander is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T17:02:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T02:44:23.855799Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T02:44:23.855799Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:09:32.011203Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-10-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny10d26","event_title":"NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26-BLAN-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Brad Lander, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Brad Lander in the 2026 NY-10 Democratic primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Brad Lander minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Brad Lander minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Brad Lander if Brad Lander wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Brad Lander loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Brad Lander wins, or the electoral votes received by Brad Lander minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Brad Lander does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Brad Lander runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Brad Lander will be summed.\n\nIf Brad Lander wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Brad Lander loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Brad Lander ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Brad Lander is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T17:02:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T19:40:27.610403Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T19:40:27.610403Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T17:09:32.011203Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-10-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny10d26","event_title":"NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-NY10D26","as_of":"2026-06-17T03:15:17.503087Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 10% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}