{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9810.68,"volume_24hr":1801.68,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.854520797729492,"normalized_volume":22.244434356689453,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":7871.9400000000005,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Micah Lasher, ≥10%","top_outcome_probability":0.16,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-3155.49,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:05.788320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:05.788320Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.624420Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","chart_24h":[8309.0,8310.0,8167.0,4975.68,1801.68],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-MLAS-P55","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-MLAS-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be above 10%?","group_item_title":"Micah Lasher, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Micah Lasher minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Micah Lasher if Micah Lasher wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Micah Lasher loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Micah Lasher minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Micah Lasher if Micah Lasher wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Micah Lasher loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Micah Lasher minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Micah Lasher wins, or the electoral votes received by Micah Lasher minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Micah Lasher does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Micah Lasher runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Micah Lasher will be summed.\n\nIf Micah Lasher wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Micah Lasher loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Micah Lasher ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Micah Lasher is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":3514.51,"volume_24hr":329.51,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":-3155.49,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.26465892791748,"normalized_volume":20.43414306640625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:58:35.935704Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:45:05.898321Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-MLAS-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-MLAS-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be between 6% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Micah Lasher, 6-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Micah Lasher minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Micah Lasher if Micah Lasher wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Micah Lasher loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Micah Lasher minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Micah Lasher if Micah Lasher wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Micah Lasher loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Micah Lasher minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Micah Lasher wins, or the electoral votes received by Micah Lasher minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Micah Lasher does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Micah Lasher runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Micah Lasher will be summed.\n\nIf Micah Lasher wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Micah Lasher loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Micah Lasher ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Micah Lasher is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":58.03,"volume_24hr":47.03,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":36.03,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.909848690032959,"normalized_volume":5.097469806671143,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:25:05.530312Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:32.585980Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-ABOR-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-ABOR-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Alex Bores in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be between 0% and 2%?","group_item_title":"Alex Bores, 0-2%","description":"If the margin of victory for Alex Bores in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Alex Bores minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alex Bores if Alex Bores wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Alex Bores loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Alex Bores minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alex Bores if Alex Bores wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Alex Bores loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Alex Bores minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Alex Bores wins, or the electoral votes received by Alex Bores minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Alex Bores does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Alex Bores runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Alex Bores will be summed.\n\nIf Alex Bores wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Alex Bores loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Alex Bores ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Alex Bores is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":63.22,"volume_24hr":52.22,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":41.22,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.227236747741699,"normalized_volume":5.310315132141113,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:25:05.530312Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:32.585980Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-ABOR-P3","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-ABOR-P3","question":"Will the margin of victory for Alex Bores in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be between 2% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Alex Bores, 2-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Alex Bores in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 2% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Alex Bores minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alex Bores if Alex Bores wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Alex Bores loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Alex Bores minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alex Bores if Alex Bores wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Alex Bores loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Alex Bores minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Alex Bores wins, or the electoral votes received by Alex Bores minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Alex Bores does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Alex Bores runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Alex Bores will be summed.\n\nIf Alex Bores wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Alex Bores loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Alex Bores ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Alex Bores is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":63.22,"volume_24hr":52.22,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":41.22,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.227236747741699,"normalized_volume":5.310315132141113,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:25:05.530312Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:32.585980Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-MLAS-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-MLAS-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be between 0% and 2%?","group_item_title":"Micah Lasher, 0-2%","description":"If the margin of victory for Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Micah Lasher minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Micah Lasher if Micah Lasher wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Micah Lasher loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Micah Lasher minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Micah Lasher if Micah Lasher wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Micah Lasher loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Micah Lasher minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Micah Lasher wins, or the electoral votes received by Micah Lasher minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Micah Lasher does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Micah Lasher runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Micah Lasher will be summed.\n\nIf Micah Lasher wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Micah Lasher loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Micah Lasher ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Micah Lasher is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":97.15,"volume_24hr":86.15,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":75.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.868632793426514,"normalized_volume":6.447816371917725,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:25:05.530312Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:32.585980Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-MLAS-P9","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-MLAS-P9","question":"Will the margin of victory for Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be between 8% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Micah Lasher, 8-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 8% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Micah Lasher minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Micah Lasher if Micah Lasher wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Micah Lasher loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Micah Lasher minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Micah Lasher if Micah Lasher wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Micah Lasher loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Micah Lasher minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Micah Lasher wins, or the electoral votes received by Micah Lasher minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Micah Lasher does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Micah Lasher runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Micah Lasher will be summed.\n\nIf Micah Lasher wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Micah Lasher loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Micah Lasher ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Micah Lasher is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":145.12,"volume_24hr":134.12,"prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":123.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.489180564880371,"normalized_volume":7.61519718170166,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:25:05.530312Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:32.585980Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-ABOR-P5","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-ABOR-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Alex Bores in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be between 4% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Alex Bores, 4-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Alex Bores in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 4% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Alex Bores minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alex Bores if Alex Bores wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Alex Bores loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Alex Bores minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alex Bores if Alex Bores wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Alex Bores loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Alex Bores minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Alex Bores wins, or the electoral votes received by Alex Bores minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Alex Bores does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Alex Bores runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Alex Bores will be summed.\n\nIf Alex Bores wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Alex Bores loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Alex Bores ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Alex Bores is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":89.18,"volume_24hr":78.18,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":67.18,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.534425735473633,"normalized_volume":6.211898326873779,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:25:05.530312Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:32.585980Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-MLAS-P3","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-MLAS-P3","question":"Will the margin of victory for Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be between 2% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Micah Lasher, 2-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 2% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Micah Lasher minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Micah Lasher if Micah Lasher wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Micah Lasher loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Micah Lasher minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Micah Lasher if Micah Lasher wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Micah Lasher loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Micah Lasher minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Micah Lasher wins, or the electoral votes received by Micah Lasher minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Micah Lasher does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Micah Lasher runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Micah Lasher will be summed.\n\nIf Micah Lasher wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Micah Lasher loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Micah Lasher ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Micah Lasher is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":89.18,"volume_24hr":78.18,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":67.18,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.534425735473633,"normalized_volume":6.211898326873779,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:25:05.530312Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:32.585980Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-MLAS-P5","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-MLAS-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be between 4% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Micah Lasher, 4-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 4% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Micah Lasher minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Micah Lasher if Micah Lasher wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Micah Lasher loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Micah Lasher minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Micah Lasher if Micah Lasher wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Micah Lasher loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Micah Lasher minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Micah Lasher wins, or the electoral votes received by Micah Lasher minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Micah Lasher does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Micah Lasher runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Micah Lasher will be summed.\n\nIf Micah Lasher wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Micah Lasher loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Micah Lasher ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Micah Lasher is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":166.36,"volume_24hr":155.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":144.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.062342643737793,"normalized_volume":8.035545349121094,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:25:05.530312Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:32.585980Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-ABOR-P55","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-ABOR-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for Alex Bores in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be above 10%?","group_item_title":"Alex Bores, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Alex Bores in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Alex Bores minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alex Bores if Alex Bores wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Alex Bores loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Alex Bores minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alex Bores if Alex Bores wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Alex Bores loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Alex Bores minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Alex Bores wins, or the electoral votes received by Alex Bores minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Alex Bores does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Alex Bores runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Alex Bores will be summed.\n\nIf Alex Bores wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Alex Bores loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Alex Bores ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Alex Bores is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":290.76,"volume_24hr":279.76,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":268.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.52904224395752,"normalized_volume":9.874719619750977,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:25:05.530312Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:32.585980Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-ABOR-P9","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-ABOR-P9","question":"Will the margin of victory for Alex Bores in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be between 8% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Alex Bores, 8-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Alex Bores in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 8% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Alex Bores minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alex Bores if Alex Bores wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Alex Bores loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Alex Bores minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alex Bores if Alex Bores wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Alex Bores loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Alex Bores minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Alex Bores wins, or the electoral votes received by Alex Bores minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Alex Bores does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Alex Bores runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Alex Bores will be summed.\n\nIf Alex Bores wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Alex Bores loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Alex Bores ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Alex Bores is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":128.12,"volume_24hr":117.12,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":106.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.97617244720459,"normalized_volume":7.241951942443848,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:25:05.530312Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:32.585980Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-JSCH-P50","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-JSCH-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jack Schlossberg in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Jack Schlossberg wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Jack Schlossberg in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Jack Schlossberg minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jack Schlossberg if Jack Schlossberg wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Jack Schlossberg loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Jack Schlossberg minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jack Schlossberg if Jack Schlossberg wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Jack Schlossberg loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Jack Schlossberg minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Jack Schlossberg wins, or the electoral votes received by Jack Schlossberg minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Jack Schlossberg does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jack Schlossberg runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Jack Schlossberg will be summed.\n\nIf Jack Schlossberg wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Jack Schlossberg loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Jack Schlossberg ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Jack Schlossberg is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":4781.71,"volume_24hr":78.71,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":-4624.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.557438373565674,"normalized_volume":22.003944396972656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:25:05.530312Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:32.585980Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-ABOR-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26-ABOR-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Alex Bores in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be between 6% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Alex Bores, 6-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Alex Bores in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Alex Bores minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alex Bores if Alex Bores wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Alex Bores loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Alex Bores minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alex Bores if Alex Bores wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Alex Bores loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Alex Bores minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Alex Bores wins, or the electoral votes received by Alex Bores minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Alex Bores does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Alex Bores runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Alex Bores will be summed.\n\nIf Alex Bores wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Alex Bores loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Alex Bores ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Alex Bores is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":324.12,"volume_24hr":313.12,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":301.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.033061981201172,"normalized_volume":10.255012512207031,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:03:11.208958Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:03:11.208958Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:32:42.818728Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-12-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny12d26","event_title":"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-NY12D26","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:27:11.777136Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 16% probability across 13 outcomes","source_url":null}}