{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":109.0,"volume_24hr":109.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.150808811187744,"normalized_volume":5.74774169921875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":97.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Adriano Espaillat, 0-3%","top_outcome_probability":0.12,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.12,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":8.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:02.942673Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:02.942673Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.343310Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","chart_24h":[0.0,1.0,1.0,109.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-AESP-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-AESP-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Adriano Espaillat, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adriano Espaillat minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adriano Espaillat if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adriano Espaillat loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adriano Espaillat if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adriano Espaillat loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the electoral votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adriano Espaillat does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adriano Espaillat runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adriano Espaillat will be summed.\n\nIf Adriano Espaillat wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adriano Espaillat loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adriano Espaillat ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adriano Espaillat is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6879572868347168,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T01:49:29.923682Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T01:49:29.923682Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","event_title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-AESP-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-AESP-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Adriano Espaillat, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adriano Espaillat minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adriano Espaillat if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adriano Espaillat loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adriano Espaillat if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adriano Espaillat loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the electoral votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adriano Espaillat does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adriano Espaillat runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adriano Espaillat will be summed.\n\nIf Adriano Espaillat wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adriano Espaillat loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adriano Espaillat ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adriano Espaillat is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6879572868347168,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T01:34:54.543497Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T01:34:54.543497Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","event_title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-DCHE-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-DCHE-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Darializa Avila Chevalier, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darializa Avila Chevalier runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Darializa Avila Chevalier will be summed.\n\nIf Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Darializa Avila Chevalier loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Darializa Avila Chevalier ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Darializa Avila Chevalier is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6879572868347168,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T01:49:29.923682Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T01:49:29.923682Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","event_title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-DCHE-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-DCHE-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Darializa Avila Chevalier, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darializa Avila Chevalier runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Darializa Avila Chevalier will be summed.\n\nIf Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Darializa Avila Chevalier loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Darializa Avila Chevalier ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Darializa Avila Chevalier is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6879572868347168,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:40:27.686160Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:40:27.686160Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","event_title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-AESP-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-AESP-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Adriano Espaillat, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adriano Espaillat minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adriano Espaillat if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adriano Espaillat loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adriano Espaillat if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adriano Espaillat loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the electoral votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adriano Espaillat does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adriano Espaillat runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adriano Espaillat will be summed.\n\nIf Adriano Espaillat wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adriano Espaillat loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adriano Espaillat ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adriano Espaillat is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6879572868347168,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:13:15.213340Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:04.283897Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","event_title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-AESP-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-AESP-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Adriano Espaillat, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adriano Espaillat minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adriano Espaillat if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adriano Espaillat loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adriano Espaillat if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adriano Espaillat loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the electoral votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adriano Espaillat does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adriano Espaillat runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adriano Espaillat will be summed.\n\nIf Adriano Espaillat wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adriano Espaillat loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adriano Espaillat ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adriano Espaillat is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6879572868347168,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:13:15.213340Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:04.283897Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","event_title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-AESP-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-AESP-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Adriano Espaillat, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adriano Espaillat minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adriano Espaillat if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adriano Espaillat loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adriano Espaillat if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adriano Espaillat loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the electoral votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adriano Espaillat does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adriano Espaillat runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adriano Espaillat will be summed.\n\nIf Adriano Espaillat wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adriano Espaillat loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adriano Espaillat ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adriano Espaillat is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6879572868347168,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:13:15.213340Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:04.283897Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","event_title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-DCHE-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-DCHE-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Darializa Avila Chevalier, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darializa Avila Chevalier runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Darializa Avila Chevalier will be summed.\n\nIf Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Darializa Avila Chevalier loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Darializa Avila Chevalier ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Darializa Avila Chevalier is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":9.0,"volume_24hr":9.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":9.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.8537191152572632,"normalized_volume":1.5437514781951904,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:13:15.213340Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:04.283897Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","event_title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-AESP-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-AESP-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Adriano Espaillat, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Adriano Espaillat in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Adriano Espaillat minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adriano Espaillat if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Adriano Espaillat loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Adriano Espaillat if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Adriano Espaillat loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Adriano Espaillat wins, or the electoral votes received by Adriano Espaillat minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Adriano Espaillat does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adriano Espaillat runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Adriano Espaillat will be summed.\n\nIf Adriano Espaillat wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Adriano Espaillat loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Adriano Espaillat ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Adriano Espaillat is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.2407901287078857,"normalized_volume":2.698884963989258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:13:15.213340Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:04.283897Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","event_title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.06,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-DCHE-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-DCHE-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Darializa Avila Chevalier, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darializa Avila Chevalier runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Darializa Avila Chevalier will be summed.\n\nIf Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Darializa Avila Chevalier loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Darializa Avila Chevalier ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Darializa Avila Chevalier is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6879572868347168,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:40:27.686160Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:40:27.686160Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","event_title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.08,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-DCHE-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-DCHE-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Darializa Avila Chevalier, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darializa Avila Chevalier runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Darializa Avila Chevalier will be summed.\n\nIf Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Darializa Avila Chevalier loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Darializa Avila Chevalier ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Darializa Avila Chevalier is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6879572868347168,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:40:27.686160Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:40:27.686160Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","event_title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.08,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-DCHE-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26-DCHE-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Darializa Avila Chevalier, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darializa Avila Chevalier runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Darializa Avila Chevalier will be summed.\n\nIf Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Darializa Avila Chevalier loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Darializa Avila Chevalier ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Darializa Avila Chevalier is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-23T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6879572868347168,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:40:27.686160Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:40:27.686160Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-13-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny13d26","event_title":"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.08,0.05,0.05]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-NY13D26","as_of":"2026-06-17T03:15:38.590236Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 8% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}