{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1791.22,"volume_24hr":1791.22,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.14138412475586,"normalized_volume":14.608438491821289,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1769.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Claire Valdez, 0-3%","top_outcome_probability":0.16,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.16,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":12.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-16T23:34:33.392222Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T23:34:33.392222Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.343310Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","chart_24h":[0.0,1695.22,1695.22,1791.22],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-CVAL-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-CVAL-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Claire Valdez, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Claire Valdez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Claire Valdez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Claire Valdez wins, or the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Claire Valdez does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Claire Valdez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Claire Valdez will be summed.\n\nIf Claire Valdez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Claire Valdez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Claire Valdez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Claire Valdez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3206820487976074,"normalized_volume":1.9155945777893066,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T02:03:23.683179Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T02:03:23.683179Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","event_title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-CVAL-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-CVAL-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Claire Valdez, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Claire Valdez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Claire Valdez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Claire Valdez wins, or the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Claire Valdez does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Claire Valdez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Claire Valdez will be summed.\n\nIf Claire Valdez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Claire Valdez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Claire Valdez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Claire Valdez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":9.0,"volume_24hr":9.0,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":9.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.8702058792114258,"normalized_volume":1.5437514781951904,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:25:16.400028Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:25:16.400028Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","event_title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-CVAL-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-CVAL-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Claire Valdez, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Claire Valdez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Claire Valdez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Claire Valdez wins, or the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Claire Valdez does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Claire Valdez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Claire Valdez will be summed.\n\nIf Claire Valdez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Claire Valdez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Claire Valdez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Claire Valdez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":231.0,"volume_24hr":231.0,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":231.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.464799880981445,"normalized_volume":8.638113021850586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:04.283897Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:04.283897Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","event_title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.1,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-CVAL-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-CVAL-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Claire Valdez, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Claire Valdez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Claire Valdez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Claire Valdez wins, or the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Claire Valdez does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Claire Valdez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Claire Valdez will be summed.\n\nIf Claire Valdez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Claire Valdez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Claire Valdez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Claire Valdez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":774.22,"volume_24hr":774.22,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":774.22,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.613931655883789,"normalized_volume":12.888436317443848,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:04.283897Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:04.283897Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","event_title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.14,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-CVAL-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-CVAL-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Claire Valdez, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Claire Valdez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Claire Valdez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Claire Valdez wins, or the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Claire Valdez does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Claire Valdez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Claire Valdez will be summed.\n\nIf Claire Valdez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Claire Valdez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Claire Valdez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Claire Valdez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":231.0,"volume_24hr":231.0,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":231.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.464799880981445,"normalized_volume":8.638113021850586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:25:16.400028Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:25:16.400028Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","event_title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-CVAL-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-CVAL-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Claire Valdez, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Claire Valdez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Claire Valdez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Claire Valdez wins, or the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Claire Valdez does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Claire Valdez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Claire Valdez will be summed.\n\nIf Claire Valdez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Claire Valdez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Claire Valdez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Claire Valdez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":458.0,"volume_24hr":458.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":458.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.250870704650879,"normalized_volume":10.937859535217285,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:04.283897Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:09:04.283897Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","event_title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.1,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-AREY-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-AREY-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Antonio Reynoso in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Antonio Reynoso, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Antonio Reynoso in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Antonio Reynoso minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Antonio Reynoso if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Antonio Reynoso loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Antonio Reynoso if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Antonio Reynoso loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the electoral votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Antonio Reynoso does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Antonio Reynoso runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Antonio Reynoso will be summed.\n\nIf Antonio Reynoso wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Antonio Reynoso loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Antonio Reynoso ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Antonio Reynoso is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7029697895050049,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:25:16.400028Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:25:16.400028Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","event_title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-AREY-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-AREY-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Antonio Reynoso in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Antonio Reynoso, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Antonio Reynoso in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Antonio Reynoso minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Antonio Reynoso if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Antonio Reynoso loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Antonio Reynoso if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Antonio Reynoso loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the electoral votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Antonio Reynoso does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Antonio Reynoso runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Antonio Reynoso will be summed.\n\nIf Antonio Reynoso wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Antonio Reynoso loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Antonio Reynoso ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Antonio Reynoso is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7029697895050049,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T23:36:34.270946Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T23:34:33.550329Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","event_title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-AREY-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-AREY-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Antonio Reynoso in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Antonio Reynoso, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Antonio Reynoso in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Antonio Reynoso minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Antonio Reynoso if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Antonio Reynoso loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Antonio Reynoso if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Antonio Reynoso loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the electoral votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Antonio Reynoso does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Antonio Reynoso runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Antonio Reynoso will be summed.\n\nIf Antonio Reynoso wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Antonio Reynoso loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Antonio Reynoso ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Antonio Reynoso is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7029697895050049,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T23:36:34.270946Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T23:34:33.550329Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","event_title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-AREY-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-AREY-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Antonio Reynoso in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Antonio Reynoso, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Antonio Reynoso in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Antonio Reynoso minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Antonio Reynoso if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Antonio Reynoso loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Antonio Reynoso if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Antonio Reynoso loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the electoral votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Antonio Reynoso does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Antonio Reynoso runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Antonio Reynoso will be summed.\n\nIf Antonio Reynoso wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Antonio Reynoso loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Antonio Reynoso ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Antonio Reynoso is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7029697895050049,"normalized_volume":1.4057072401046753,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T23:36:34.270946Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T23:34:33.550329Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","event_title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-AREY-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-AREY-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Antonio Reynoso in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Antonio Reynoso, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Antonio Reynoso in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Antonio Reynoso minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Antonio Reynoso if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Antonio Reynoso loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Antonio Reynoso if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Antonio Reynoso loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the electoral votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Antonio Reynoso does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Antonio Reynoso runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Antonio Reynoso will be summed.\n\nIf Antonio Reynoso wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Antonio Reynoso loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Antonio Reynoso ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Antonio Reynoso is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":22.0,"volume_24hr":22.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":22.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.467927932739258,"normalized_volume":2.8625824451446533,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T23:36:34.270946Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T23:34:33.550329Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","event_title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.07,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-AREY-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26-AREY-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Antonio Reynoso in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Antonio Reynoso, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Antonio Reynoso in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Antonio Reynoso minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Antonio Reynoso if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Antonio Reynoso loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Antonio Reynoso if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Antonio Reynoso loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Antonio Reynoso wins, or the electoral votes received by Antonio Reynoso minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Antonio Reynoso does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Antonio Reynoso runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Antonio Reynoso will be summed.\n\nIf Antonio Reynoso wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Antonio Reynoso loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Antonio Reynoso ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Antonio Reynoso is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-17T14:00:00Z","volume":22.0,"volume_24hr":22.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":22.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.467927932739258,"normalized_volume":2.8625824451446533,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T23:36:34.270946Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T23:34:33.550329Z","added_at":"2026-06-16T19:12:19.470885Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ny-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ny7d26","event_title":"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.07,0.02,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-NY7D26","as_of":"2026-06-17T02:15:22.557371Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 12% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}