{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40343.46,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.609216690063477,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":18140.49,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Chris Rabb, 15-20%","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-08T04:19:11.849635Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T04:19:11.849635Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:33.602648Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P17","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P17","question":"Will the margin of victory for Chris Rabb in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be between 15% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Chris Rabb, 15-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Chris Rabb in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Chris Rabb minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Chris Rabb if Chris Rabb wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Chris Rabb loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Chris Rabb minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Chris Rabb if Chris Rabb wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Chris Rabb loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Chris Rabb minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Chris Rabb wins, or the electoral votes received by Chris Rabb minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Chris Rabb does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Chris Rabb runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Chris Rabb will be summed.\n\nIf Chris Rabb wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Chris Rabb loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Chris Rabb ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Chris Rabb is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2695.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.12813949584961,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:19:57.710398Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T13:19:57.710398Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-ASTA-P50","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-ASTA-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ala Stanford in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Ala Stanford wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Ala Stanford in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ala Stanford minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ala Stanford if Ala Stanford wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ala Stanford loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ala Stanford minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ala Stanford if Ala Stanford wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ala Stanford loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ala Stanford minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ala Stanford wins, or the electoral votes received by Ala Stanford minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ala Stanford does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ala Stanford runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ala Stanford will be summed.\n\nIf Ala Stanford wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ala Stanford loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ala Stanford ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ala Stanford is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":3552.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.48789405822754,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:10:57.634629Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T15:31:19.800976Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Chris Rabb in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Chris Rabb, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Chris Rabb in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Chris Rabb minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Chris Rabb if Chris Rabb wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Chris Rabb loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Chris Rabb minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Chris Rabb if Chris Rabb wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Chris Rabb loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Chris Rabb minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Chris Rabb wins, or the electoral votes received by Chris Rabb minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Chris Rabb does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Chris Rabb runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Chris Rabb will be summed.\n\nIf Chris Rabb wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Chris Rabb loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Chris Rabb ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Chris Rabb is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.74,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":1995.89,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.701208114624023,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:51:51.025221Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T02:43:18.356424Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Chris Rabb in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Chris Rabb, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Chris Rabb in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Chris Rabb minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Chris Rabb if Chris Rabb wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Chris Rabb loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Chris Rabb minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Chris Rabb if Chris Rabb wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Chris Rabb loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Chris Rabb minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Chris Rabb wins, or the electoral votes received by Chris Rabb minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Chris Rabb does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Chris Rabb runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Chris Rabb will be summed.\n\nIf Chris Rabb wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Chris Rabb loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Chris Rabb ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Chris Rabb is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2952.27,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.571165084838867,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:37:21.201104Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-29T21:31:24.428523Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P22","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P22","question":"Will the margin of victory for Chris Rabb in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be between 20% and 25%?","group_item_title":"Chris Rabb, 20-25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Chris Rabb in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 20% to 25%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Chris Rabb minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Chris Rabb if Chris Rabb wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Chris Rabb loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Chris Rabb minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Chris Rabb if Chris Rabb wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Chris Rabb loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Chris Rabb minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Chris Rabb wins, or the electoral votes received by Chris Rabb minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Chris Rabb does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Chris Rabb runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Chris Rabb will be summed.\n\nIf Chris Rabb wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Chris Rabb loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Chris Rabb ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Chris Rabb is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":3592.12,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.543588638305664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:56:11.256050Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-29T21:31:24.428523Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Chris Rabb in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be above 25%?","group_item_title":"Chris Rabb, ≥25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Chris Rabb in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Chris Rabb minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Chris Rabb if Chris Rabb wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Chris Rabb loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Chris Rabb minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Chris Rabb if Chris Rabb wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Chris Rabb loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Chris Rabb minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Chris Rabb wins, or the electoral votes received by Chris Rabb minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Chris Rabb does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Chris Rabb runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Chris Rabb will be summed.\n\nIf Chris Rabb wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Chris Rabb loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Chris Rabb ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Chris Rabb is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2981.59,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.619586944580078,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:42:44.726795Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-29T21:31:24.428523Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Chris Rabb in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Chris Rabb, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Chris Rabb in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Chris Rabb minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Chris Rabb if Chris Rabb wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Chris Rabb loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Chris Rabb minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Chris Rabb if Chris Rabb wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Chris Rabb loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Chris Rabb minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Chris Rabb wins, or the electoral votes received by Chris Rabb minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Chris Rabb does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Chris Rabb runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Chris Rabb will be summed.\n\nIf Chris Rabb wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Chris Rabb loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Chris Rabb ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Chris Rabb is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":4722.59,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.93938636779785,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:18:07.465106Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-29T21:31:24.428523Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Sharif Street, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sharif Street minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sharif Street if Sharif Street wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sharif Street loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Sharif Street minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sharif Street if Sharif Street wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Sharif Street loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Sharif Street minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Sharif Street wins, or the electoral votes received by Sharif Street minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Sharif Street does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sharif Street runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sharif Street will be summed.\n\nIf Sharif Street wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sharif Street loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sharif Street ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sharif Street is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":3649.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.622488021850586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:18:57.968345Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T06:14:39.224659Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P17","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P17","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be between 15% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Sharif Street, 15-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sharif Street minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sharif Street if Sharif Street wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sharif Street loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Sharif Street minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sharif Street if Sharif Street wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Sharif Street loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Sharif Street minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Sharif Street wins, or the electoral votes received by Sharif Street minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Sharif Street does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sharif Street runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sharif Street will be summed.\n\nIf Sharif Street wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sharif Street loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sharif Street ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sharif Street is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":3632.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.599021911621094,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:18:57.968345Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T06:14:39.224659Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Sharif Street, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sharif Street minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sharif Street if Sharif Street wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sharif Street loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Sharif Street minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sharif Street if Sharif Street wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Sharif Street loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Sharif Street minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Sharif Street wins, or the electoral votes received by Sharif Street minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Sharif Street does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sharif Street runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sharif Street will be summed.\n\nIf Sharif Street wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sharif Street loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sharif Street ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sharif Street is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":3426.04,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.3067684173584,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:37:21.201104Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T15:39:17.553346Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P22","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P22","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be between 20% and 25%?","group_item_title":"Sharif Street, 20-25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 20% to 25%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sharif Street minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sharif Street if Sharif Street wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sharif Street loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Sharif Street minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sharif Street if Sharif Street wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Sharif Street loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Sharif Street minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Sharif Street wins, or the electoral votes received by Sharif Street minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Sharif Street does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sharif Street runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sharif Street will be summed.\n\nIf Sharif Street wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sharif Street loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sharif Street ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sharif Street is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":3309.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.133752822875977,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:18:57.968345Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T06:14:39.224659Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be above 25%?","group_item_title":"Sharif Street, ≥25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sharif Street minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sharif Street if Sharif Street wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sharif Street loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Sharif Street minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sharif Street if Sharif Street wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Sharif Street loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Sharif Street minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Sharif Street wins, or the electoral votes received by Sharif Street minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Sharif Street does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sharif Street runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sharif Street will be summed.\n\nIf Sharif Street wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sharif Street loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sharif Street ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sharif Street is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":187.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.405057907104492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:46:41.403595Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T16:01:16.167317Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Sharif Street, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sharif Street minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sharif Street if Sharif Street wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sharif Street loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Sharif Street minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sharif Street if Sharif Street wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Sharif Street loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Sharif Street minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Sharif Street wins, or the electoral votes received by Sharif Street minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Sharif Street does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sharif Street runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sharif Street will be summed.\n\nIf Sharif Street wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sharif Street loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sharif Street ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sharif Street is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":3648.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.621110916137695,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:18:57.968345Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T06:14:39.224659Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/pa-03-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-pa3d26","event_title":"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:24:37.863900Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory\" — top market at 99% probability across 13 outcomes","source_url":null}}