{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1860.52,"volume_24hr":1860.52,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.683591842651367,"normalized_volume":15.705026626586914,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1858.69,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Darline Graham, 3-6%","top_outcome_probability":0.21,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.21,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4.42,"updated_at":"2026-08-13T11:35:11.174161Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T11:35:11.174161Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.488564Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","chart_24h":[0.0,2.6999999999999997,7.56,7.56,126.95,134.95,134.95,1860.52],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":4.42,"volume_24hr":4.42,"prob_24h_change":0.21,"volume_24h_change":4.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1758463382720947,"normalized_volume":0.889205276966095,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T11:17:47.298352Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T11:17:47.298352Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":4.42,"volume_24hr":4.42,"prob_24h_change":0.2,"volume_24h_change":4.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1758463382720947,"normalized_volume":0.889205276966095,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T11:17:47.298352Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T11:17:47.298352Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.16,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be at least 24%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, ≥24%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 24% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":419.81,"volume_24hr":419.81,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":419.81,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.02849292755127,"normalized_volume":11.364933967590332,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T12:40:21.763428Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T12:40:21.763428Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses. If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.06000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.42,"volume_24hr":0.42,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":0.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0506165586411953,"normalized_volume":0.03827754780650139,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T11:17:47.298352Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T11:17:47.298352Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P16","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P16","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 15% and 18%?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman, 15-18%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 15% to 18%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses. If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.42,"volume_24hr":0.42,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":0.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0506165586411953,"normalized_volume":0.03827754780650139,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T09:04:19.715510Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T09:04:19.715510Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses. If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.42,"volume_24hr":0.42,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":0.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0506165586411953,"normalized_volume":0.03827754780650139,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T09:21:42.132363Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T09:21:42.132363Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P19","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P19","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 18% and 21%?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman, 18-21%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 18% to 21%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses. If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.42,"volume_24hr":0.42,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":0.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0506165586411953,"normalized_volume":0.03827754780650139,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T09:04:19.715510Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T09:04:19.715510Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":100.69,"volume_24hr":100.69,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":100.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.793756484985352,"normalized_volume":6.6500654220581055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T11:38:25.172920Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T11:35:11.380322Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.15,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.030000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":125.42,"volume_24hr":125.42,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":125.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.64158821105957,"normalized_volume":7.291217803955078,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T11:38:25.172920Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T11:35:11.380322Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P16","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P16","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 15% and 18%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 15-18%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 15% to 18%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":300.42,"volume_24hr":300.42,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":300.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.41444206237793,"normalized_volume":10.144347190856934,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T11:38:25.172920Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T11:35:11.380322Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P19","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P19","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 18% and 21%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 18-21%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 18% to 21%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":300.42,"volume_24hr":300.42,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":300.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.41444206237793,"normalized_volume":10.144347190856934,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T11:38:25.172920Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T11:35:11.380322Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P22","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P22","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 21% and 24%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 21-24%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 21% to 24%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":300.42,"volume_24hr":300.42,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":300.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.41444206237793,"normalized_volume":10.144347190856934,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T11:38:25.172920Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T11:35:11.380322Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":300.72,"volume_24hr":300.72,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":300.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.41911792755127,"normalized_volume":10.147883415222168,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T12:40:21.763428Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T12:40:21.763428Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses. If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.42,"volume_24hr":0.42,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":0.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0506165586411953,"normalized_volume":0.03827754780650139,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T11:17:47.298352Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T11:17:47.298352Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be at least 24%?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman, ≥24%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 24% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses. If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.42,"volume_24hr":0.42,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":0.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0506165586411953,"normalized_volume":0.03827754780650139,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T23:49:18.167753Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T23:49:18.167753Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses. If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.42,"volume_24hr":0.42,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":0.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0506165586411953,"normalized_volume":0.03827754780650139,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T23:49:18.167753Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T23:49:18.167753Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses. If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.42,"volume_24hr":0.42,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":0.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0506165586411953,"normalized_volume":0.03827754780650139,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T09:21:42.132363Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T09:21:42.132363Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P22","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-RNOR-P22","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 21% and 24%?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman, 21-24%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff falls within 21% to 24%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses. If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:47:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.42,"volume_24hr":0.42,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":0.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0506165586411953,"normalized_volume":0.03827754780650139,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T09:04:19.715510Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T09:04:19.715510Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:54:44.683497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-scrsens262","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262","as_of":"2026-08-13T15:46:16.551196Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?\" — top market at 16% probability across 18 outcomes","source_url":null}}