{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263","title":"South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1700.0,"volume_24hr":1700.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.392620086669922,"normalized_volume":15.283027648925781,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1700.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Darline Graham, ≥9%","top_outcome_probability":0.63,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.63,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":500.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-18T00:28:37.295796Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T00:28:37.295796Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:24:39.717807Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-senate-special-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-directional/kxprimarymov-scrsens263","chart_24h":[0.0,1000.0,1700.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P54","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P54","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff be at least 9%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, ≥9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff falls within 9% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.63,0.37],"probability":0.63,"spread":0.07000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":500.0,"volume_24hr":500.0,"prob_24h_change":0.63,"volume_24h_change":500.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.816502571105957,"normalized_volume":12.030567169189453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T00:12:44.369721Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T00:12:44.369721Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:24:39.796289Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-senate-special-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-directional/kxprimarymov-scrsens263","event_title":"South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.63]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P59","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P59","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff be at least 18%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, ≥18%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff falls within 18% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":500.0,"volume_24hr":500.0,"prob_24h_change":0.3,"volume_24h_change":500.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.816502571105957,"normalized_volume":12.030567169189453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T00:12:44.369721Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T00:12:44.369721Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:24:39.796289Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-senate-special-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-directional/kxprimarymov-scrsens263","event_title":"South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.3]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff be at least 21%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, ≥21%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff falls within 21% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":700.0,"volume_24hr":700.0,"prob_24h_change":0.19,"volume_24h_change":700.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.5719051361084,"normalized_volume":13.365785598754883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T01:13:55.297411Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T01:13:55.297411Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:24:39.796289Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-senate-special-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-directional/kxprimarymov-scrsens263","event_title":"South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.19,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P51","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P51","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff be at least 3%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, ≥3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T03:16:43.390346Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T03:16:43.390346Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:24:39.796289Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-senate-special-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-directional/kxprimarymov-scrsens263","event_title":"South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P53","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P53","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff be at least 6%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, ≥6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff falls within 6% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T03:16:43.390346Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T03:16:43.390346Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:24:39.796289Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-senate-special-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-directional/kxprimarymov-scrsens263","event_title":"South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P56","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P56","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff be at least 12%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, ≥12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.029999999999999916,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T03:16:43.390346Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T03:16:43.390346Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:24:39.796289Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-senate-special-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-directional/kxprimarymov-scrsens263","event_title":"South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T03:16:43.390346Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T03:16:43.390346Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:24:39.796289Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-senate-special-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-directional/kxprimarymov-scrsens263","event_title":"South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263-DGRA-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff be at least 24%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, ≥24%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff falls within 24% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-17T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T04:16:59.860894Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T04:16:59.860894Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T23:24:39.796289Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-senate-special-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-directional/kxprimarymov-scrsens263","event_title":"South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS263","as_of":"2026-08-18T04:17:18.319233Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)\" — top market at 19% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}