{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":146.0,"volume_24hr":146.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.138984680175781,"normalized_volume":5.564965724945068,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":129.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"SCRSENS26DNOR","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Darline Graham, ≥25%","top_outcome_probability":0.14,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.14,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":119.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-22T00:37:39.717614Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T00:37:39.717614Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.463367Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","chart_24h":[20.0,136.0,143.0,146.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-DGRA-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-DGRA-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary be at least 25%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, ≥25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":119.0,"volume_24hr":119.0,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":119.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.41458511352539,"normalized_volume":5.9648756980896,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T21:38:21.891012Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T21:36:48.820059Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.604334Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.12,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-RNOR-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-RNOR-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses. If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.4957628846168518,"normalized_volume":0.3141045570373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T19:35:49.078265Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T19:20:40.583455Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.604334Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-RFRY-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-RFRY-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Russell Fry in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Russell Fry, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Russell Fry in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Russell Fry minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Russell Fry if Russell Fry wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Russell Fry loses. If Russell Fry wins, the margin will be positive; if Russell Fry loses, the margin will be negative; if Russell Fry ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Russell Fry runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":3.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.7023568153381348,"normalized_volume":1.7121543884277344,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T00:39:19.688070Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T00:37:39.847362Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.604334Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-RNOR-P55","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-RNOR-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary be at least 10%?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses. If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":13.0,"volume_24hr":13.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":4.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.8607687950134277,"normalized_volume":1.8125207424163818,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T00:39:19.688070Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T00:37:39.847362Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.604334Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-DGRA-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-DGRA-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T19:35:49.078265Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T19:20:40.583455Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.604334Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-DGRA-P17","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-DGRA-P17","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary be between 15% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 15-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T19:35:49.078265Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T19:20:40.583455Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.604334Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-DGRA-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-DGRA-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T19:47:17.977412Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T19:47:17.977412Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.604334Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-DGRA-P22","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-DGRA-P22","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary be between 20% and 25%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 20-25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 20% to 25%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T19:35:49.078265Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T19:20:40.583455Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.604334Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-DGRA-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-DGRA-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T19:35:49.078265Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T19:20:40.583455Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.604334Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-RFRY-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-RFRY-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Russell Fry in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Russell Fry, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Russell Fry in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Russell Fry minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Russell Fry if Russell Fry wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Russell Fry loses. If Russell Fry wins, the margin will be positive; if Russell Fry loses, the margin will be negative; if Russell Fry ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Russell Fry runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T19:35:49.078265Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T19:20:40.583455Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.604334Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-RFRY-P55","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-RFRY-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for Russell Fry in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary be at least 10%?","group_item_title":"Russell Fry, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Russell Fry in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Russell Fry minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Russell Fry if Russell Fry wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Russell Fry loses. If Russell Fry wins, the margin will be positive; if Russell Fry loses, the margin will be negative; if Russell Fry ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Russell Fry runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T19:35:49.078265Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T19:20:40.583455Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.604334Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-RNOR-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR-RNOR-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ralph Norman in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ralph Norman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ralph Norman if Ralph Norman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ralph Norman loses. If Ralph Norman wins, the margin will be positive; if Ralph Norman loses, the margin will be negative; if Ralph Norman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ralph Norman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T18:55:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T19:35:49.078265Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T19:20:40.583455Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:40.604334Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-margin-of-victory-1st-round/kxprimarymov-scrsens26dnor","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS26DNOR","as_of":"2026-07-22T04:35:40.826924Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)\" — top market at 14% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}