{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10273.6,"volume_24hr":4759.6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.60704803466797,"normalized_volume":22.468137741088867,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8505.6,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"SENATEALR262R","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Barry Moore, ≥15%","top_outcome_probability":0.34,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3619.92,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:00:21.608841Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:00:21.608841Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.693354Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","chart_24h":[5515.0,5225.0,4725.0,4575.0,713.0,4315.0,4419.0,5064.0,4759.6],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-BMOO-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-BMOO-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Barry Moore, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Barry Moore runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Barry Moore will be summed.\n\nIf Barry Moore wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Barry Moore loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Barry Moore ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Barry Moore is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.6599999999999999],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":3971.92,"volume_24hr":3795.92,"prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":3619.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.77960777282715,"normalized_volume":21.050966262817383,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:53:58.494993Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:53:58.494993Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-BMOO-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-BMOO-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Barry Moore, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Barry Moore runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Barry Moore will be summed.\n\nIf Barry Moore wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Barry Moore loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Barry Moore ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Barry Moore is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":124.19,"volume_24hr":116.19,"prob_24h_change":0.039999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":108.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.94645881652832,"normalized_volume":7.15014123916626,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:12:55.743672Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:12:55.743672Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-BMOO-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-BMOO-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Barry Moore, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Barry Moore runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Barry Moore will be summed.\n\nIf Barry Moore wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Barry Moore loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Barry Moore ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Barry Moore is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":85.92,"volume_24hr":81.92,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":77.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.694348335266113,"normalized_volume":6.110701560974121,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:47:41.257876Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-BMOO-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-BMOO-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Barry Moore, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Barry Moore runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Barry Moore will be summed.\n\nIf Barry Moore wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Barry Moore loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Barry Moore ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Barry Moore is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":85.92,"volume_24hr":81.92,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":77.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.694348335266113,"normalized_volume":6.110701560974121,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:47:41.257876Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-BMOO-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-BMOO-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Barry Moore, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Barry Moore runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Barry Moore will be summed.\n\nIf Barry Moore wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Barry Moore loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Barry Moore ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Barry Moore is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":100.47,"volume_24hr":90.47,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":80.47,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.0399751663208,"normalized_volume":6.541688919067383,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:47:41.257876Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-BMOO-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-BMOO-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Barry Moore, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Barry Moore runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Barry Moore will be summed.\n\nIf Barry Moore wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Barry Moore loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Barry Moore ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Barry Moore is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":93.92,"volume_24hr":81.92,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":69.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.694348335266113,"normalized_volume":6.354074954986572,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:47:41.257876Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-JHUD-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-JHUD-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Hudson in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Jared Hudson, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Jared Hudson in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Jared Hudson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jared Hudson if Jared Hudson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Jared Hudson loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Jared Hudson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jared Hudson if Jared Hudson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Jared Hudson loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Jared Hudson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Jared Hudson wins, or the electoral votes received by Jared Hudson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Jared Hudson does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Hudson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Jared Hudson will be summed.\n\nIf Jared Hudson wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Jared Hudson loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Jared Hudson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Jared Hudson is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":3858.66,"volume_24hr":93.66,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-3671.34,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.16249942779541,"normalized_volume":20.904287338256836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:01:41.965462Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:00:21.786757Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-JHUD-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-JHUD-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Hudson in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Jared Hudson, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Jared Hudson in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Jared Hudson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jared Hudson if Jared Hudson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Jared Hudson loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Jared Hudson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jared Hudson if Jared Hudson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Jared Hudson loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Jared Hudson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Jared Hudson wins, or the electoral votes received by Jared Hudson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Jared Hudson does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Hudson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Jared Hudson will be summed.\n\nIf Jared Hudson wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Jared Hudson loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Jared Hudson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Jared Hudson is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":139.92,"volume_24hr":88.92,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":37.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.979236602783203,"normalized_volume":7.50487756729126,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:47:41.257876Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-JHUD-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-JHUD-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Hudson in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Jared Hudson, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Jared Hudson in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Jared Hudson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jared Hudson if Jared Hudson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Jared Hudson loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Jared Hudson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jared Hudson if Jared Hudson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Jared Hudson loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Jared Hudson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Jared Hudson wins, or the electoral votes received by Jared Hudson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Jared Hudson does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Hudson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Jared Hudson will be summed.\n\nIf Jared Hudson wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Jared Hudson loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Jared Hudson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Jared Hudson is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":1412.92,"volume_24hr":81.92,"prob_24h_change":0.019999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-1249.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.694348335266113,"normalized_volume":16.12946891784668,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:47:41.257876Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-JHUD-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-JHUD-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Hudson in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Jared Hudson, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Jared Hudson in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Jared Hudson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jared Hudson if Jared Hudson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Jared Hudson loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Jared Hudson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jared Hudson if Jared Hudson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Jared Hudson loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Jared Hudson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Jared Hudson wins, or the electoral votes received by Jared Hudson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Jared Hudson does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Hudson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Jared Hudson will be summed.\n\nIf Jared Hudson wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Jared Hudson loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Jared Hudson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Jared Hudson is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":132.92,"volume_24hr":81.92,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":30.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.694348335266113,"normalized_volume":7.351123332977295,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:47:41.257876Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-JHUD-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-JHUD-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Hudson in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Jared Hudson, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Jared Hudson in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Jared Hudson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jared Hudson if Jared Hudson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Jared Hudson loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Jared Hudson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jared Hudson if Jared Hudson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Jared Hudson loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Jared Hudson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Jared Hudson wins, or the electoral votes received by Jared Hudson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Jared Hudson does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Hudson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Jared Hudson will be summed.\n\nIf Jared Hudson wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Jared Hudson loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Jared Hudson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Jared Hudson is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":132.92,"volume_24hr":81.92,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":30.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.694348335266113,"normalized_volume":7.351123332977295,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:47:41.257876Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-JHUD-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R-JHUD-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Hudson in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Jared Hudson, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Jared Hudson in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Jared Hudson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jared Hudson if Jared Hudson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Jared Hudson loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Jared Hudson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jared Hudson if Jared Hudson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Jared Hudson loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Jared Hudson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Jared Hudson wins, or the electoral votes received by Jared Hudson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Jared Hudson does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Hudson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Jared Hudson will be summed.\n\nIf Jared Hudson wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Jared Hudson loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Jared Hudson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Jared Hudson is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":133.92,"volume_24hr":82.92,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":30.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.736161231994629,"normalized_volume":7.37347412109375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:47:41.257876Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/alabama-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatealr262r","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEALR262R","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:26:08.688732Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?\" — top market at 34% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}