{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","title":"Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4452.96,"volume_24hr":4452.96,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.648286819458008,"normalized_volume":17.437564849853516,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2098.97,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Julia Letlow, ≥3%","top_outcome_probability":0.72,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2981.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-25T09:33:17.566487Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T09:33:17.566487Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T22:43:51.118631Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/louisiana-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatelar26","chart_24h":[0.0,1342.0,2342.0,2438.92,4452.96],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P51","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P51","question":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 3%?","group_item_title":"Julia Letlow, ≥3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Julia Letlow runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Julia Letlow will be summed.\n\nIf Julia Letlow wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Julia Letlow loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Julia Letlow ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Julia Letlow is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","volume":2981.0,"volume_24hr":2981.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":2981.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.73040771484375,"normalized_volume":19.785682678222656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T10:28:20.412059Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T10:28:20.412059Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T22:43:52.810590Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/louisiana-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatelar26","event_title":"Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.65,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P54","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P54","question":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 9%?","group_item_title":"Julia Letlow, ≥9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff falls within 9% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Julia Letlow runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Julia Letlow will be summed.\n\nIf Julia Letlow wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Julia Letlow loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Julia Letlow ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Julia Letlow is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.37000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","volume":766.01,"volume_24hr":766.01,"prob_24h_change":0.7,"volume_24h_change":766.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.29068374633789,"normalized_volume":13.63943099975586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T11:09:19.195091Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T11:09:19.195091Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T22:43:52.810590Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/louisiana-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatelar26","event_title":"Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.7,0.7]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P53","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P53","question":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 6%?","group_item_title":"Julia Letlow, ≥6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff falls within 6% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Julia Letlow runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Julia Letlow will be summed.\n\nIf Julia Letlow wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Julia Letlow loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Julia Letlow ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Julia Letlow is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","volume":209.0,"volume_24hr":209.0,"prob_24h_change":0.53,"volume_24h_change":209.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.260356903076172,"normalized_volume":8.838345527648926,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T11:09:19.195091Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T11:09:19.195091Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T22:43:52.810590Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/louisiana-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatelar26","event_title":"Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.53,0.53,0.53]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P56","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P56","question":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 12%?","group_item_title":"Julia Letlow, ≥12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Julia Letlow runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Julia Letlow will be summed.\n\nIf Julia Letlow wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Julia Letlow loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Julia Letlow ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Julia Letlow is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","volume":295.93,"volume_24hr":295.93,"prob_24h_change":0.26,"volume_24h_change":295.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.499001502990723,"normalized_volume":10.020543098449707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T09:34:53.125782Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T09:33:17.663414Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T22:43:52.810590Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/louisiana-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatelar26","event_title":"Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.19,0.26]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Julia Letlow, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Julia Letlow runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Julia Letlow will be summed.\n\nIf Julia Letlow wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Julia Letlow loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Julia Letlow ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Julia Letlow is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","volume":100.01,"volume_24hr":100.01,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":100.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.89881706237793,"normalized_volume":6.58442497253418,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T09:34:53.125782Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T09:33:17.663414Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T22:43:52.810590Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/louisiana-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatelar26","event_title":"Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 20%?","group_item_title":"Julia Letlow, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Julia Letlow runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Julia Letlow will be summed.\n\nIf Julia Letlow wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Julia Letlow loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Julia Letlow ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Julia Letlow is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","volume":101.01,"volume_24hr":101.01,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":101.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.928299903869629,"normalized_volume":6.612564563751221,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T09:34:53.125782Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T09:33:17.663414Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T22:43:52.810590Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/louisiana-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatelar26","event_title":"Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","as_of":"2026-06-25T11:13:19.367454Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?\" — top market at 72% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}