{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1530.11,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.018163681030273,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1117.71,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ed Markey, 12-16%","top_outcome_probability":0.2,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T07:19:43.883359Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T07:19:43.883359Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.032994Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P14","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P14","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 16%?","group_item_title":"Ed Markey, 12-16%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 12% to 16%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Markey minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Markey minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Markey wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Markey does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Markey runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ed Markey will be summed.\n\nIf Ed Markey wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ed Markey loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ed Markey ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ed Markey is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":84.72,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.156052589416504,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.180303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","event_title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be above 20%?","group_item_title":"Ed Markey, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Markey minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Markey minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Markey wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Markey does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Markey runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ed Markey will be summed.\n\nIf Ed Markey wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ed Markey loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ed Markey ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ed Markey is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":462.28,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.805868148803711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T23:40:16.091989Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T14:33:05.619258Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.180303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","event_title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P18","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P18","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 16% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Ed Markey, 16-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 16% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Markey minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Markey minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Markey wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Markey does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Markey runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ed Markey will be summed.\n\nIf Ed Markey wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ed Markey loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ed Markey ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ed Markey is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":124.42,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.075465202331543,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.180303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","event_title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 8% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Ed Markey, 8-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 8% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Markey minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Markey minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Markey wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Markey does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Markey runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ed Markey will be summed.\n\nIf Ed Markey wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ed Markey loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ed Markey ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ed Markey is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":83.19,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.114412307739258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.180303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","event_title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P6","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P6","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 4% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Ed Markey, 4-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 4% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Markey minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Markey minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Markey wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Markey does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Markey runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ed Markey will be summed.\n\nIf Ed Markey wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ed Markey loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ed Markey ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ed Markey is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":102.98,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.613153457641602,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.180303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","event_title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Seth Moulton, 0-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Seth Moulton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Seth Moulton loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Seth Moulton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Seth Moulton loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Seth Moulton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Seth Moulton wins, or the electoral votes received by Seth Moulton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Seth Moulton does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Seth Moulton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Seth Moulton will be summed.\n\nIf Seth Moulton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Seth Moulton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Seth Moulton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Seth Moulton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":79.38,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.008113384246826,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.180303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","event_title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be above 20%?","group_item_title":"Seth Moulton, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Seth Moulton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Seth Moulton loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Seth Moulton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Seth Moulton loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Seth Moulton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Seth Moulton wins, or the electoral votes received by Seth Moulton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Seth Moulton does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Seth Moulton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Seth Moulton will be summed.\n\nIf Seth Moulton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Seth Moulton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Seth Moulton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Seth Moulton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":51.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.0630574226379395,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:51.380849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T14:51:08.305679Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.180303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","event_title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P18","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P18","question":"Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 16% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Seth Moulton, 16-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 16% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Seth Moulton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Seth Moulton loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Seth Moulton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Seth Moulton loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Seth Moulton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Seth Moulton wins, or the electoral votes received by Seth Moulton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Seth Moulton does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Seth Moulton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Seth Moulton will be summed.\n\nIf Seth Moulton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Seth Moulton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Seth Moulton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Seth Moulton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":34.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.289649248123169,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T06:56:12.241339Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-05T12:59:27.850857Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.180303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","event_title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Ed Markey, 0-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Markey minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Markey minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Markey wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Markey does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Markey runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ed Markey will be summed.\n\nIf Ed Markey wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ed Markey loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ed Markey ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ed Markey is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":159.6,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.713168144226074,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.180303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","event_title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 8% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Seth Moulton, 8-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 8% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Seth Moulton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Seth Moulton loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Seth Moulton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Seth Moulton loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Seth Moulton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Seth Moulton wins, or the electoral votes received by Seth Moulton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Seth Moulton does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Seth Moulton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Seth Moulton will be summed.\n\nIf Seth Moulton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Seth Moulton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Seth Moulton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Seth Moulton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":128.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.155066013336182,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:21:03.318136Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T06:32:19.681398Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.180303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","event_title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P14","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P14","question":"Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 16%?","group_item_title":"Seth Moulton, 12-16%","description":"If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 12% to 16%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Seth Moulton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Seth Moulton loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Seth Moulton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Seth Moulton loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Seth Moulton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Seth Moulton wins, or the electoral votes received by Seth Moulton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Seth Moulton does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Seth Moulton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Seth Moulton will be summed.\n\nIf Seth Moulton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Seth Moulton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Seth Moulton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Seth Moulton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.023220539093018,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T23:40:16.091989Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T19:47:16.840945Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.180303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","event_title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P6","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P6","question":"Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 4% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Seth Moulton, 4-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 4% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Seth Moulton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Seth Moulton loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Seth Moulton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Seth Moulton loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Seth Moulton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Seth Moulton wins, or the electoral votes received by Seth Moulton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Seth Moulton does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Seth Moulton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Seth Moulton will be summed.\n\nIf Seth Moulton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Seth Moulton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Seth Moulton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Seth Moulton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T15:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":170.1,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.881631374359131,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T10:21:03.318136Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T06:32:19.681398Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T15:09:51.180303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatemad26","event_title":"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","as_of":"2026-07-25T19:52:59.474686Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 20% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}