{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED","title":"Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23988.45,"volume_24hr":1561.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.54767608642578,"normalized_volume":26.40972900390625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":13974.77,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Graham Platner, ≥50%","top_outcome_probability":0.919,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-15.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-27T00:25:36.308369Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T00:25:36.308369Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/margin-of-victory-in-the-maine-democratic-senate-primary/kxprimarymov-senatemed","chart_24h":[16.0,17.0,2.0,1562.0,1561.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-JMIL-P50","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-JMIL-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Janet Mills wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Janet Mills minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Janet Mills minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Janet Mills wins, or the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Janet Mills does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Janet Mills runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Janet Mills will be summed.\n\nIf Janet Mills wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Janet Mills loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Janet Mills ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Janet Mills is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.008,0.992],"probability":0.008,"spread":0.036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","volume":3989.52,"volume_24hr":1560.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.457597732543945,"normalized_volume":22.30799102783203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:18:43.246203Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:18:43.246203Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/margin-of-victory-in-the-maine-democratic-senate-primary/kxprimarymov-senatemed","event_title":"Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?","chart_24h":[0.008,0.008]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P5","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Graham Platner, 0-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Graham Platner minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Graham Platner if Graham Platner wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Graham Platner loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Graham Platner minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Graham Platner if Graham Platner wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Graham Platner loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Graham Platner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Graham Platner wins, or the electoral votes received by Graham Platner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Graham Platner does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Graham Platner runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Graham Platner will be summed.\n\nIf Graham Platner wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Graham Platner loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Graham Platner ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Graham Platner is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.998],"probability":0.002,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","volume":630.26,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.16401639580726624,"normalized_volume":13.489249229431152,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:18:43.246203Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:18:43.246203Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/margin-of-victory-in-the-maine-democratic-senate-primary/kxprimarymov-senatemed","event_title":"Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?","chart_24h":[0.002,0.002,0.002]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P75","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P75","question":"Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be above 50%?","group_item_title":"Graham Platner, ≥50%","description":"If the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 50% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Graham Platner minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Graham Platner if Graham Platner wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Graham Platner loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Graham Platner minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Graham Platner if Graham Platner wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Graham Platner loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Graham Platner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Graham Platner wins, or the electoral votes received by Graham Platner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Graham Platner does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Graham Platner runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Graham Platner will be summed.\n\nIf Graham Platner wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Graham Platner loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Graham Platner ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Graham Platner is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.919,0.08099999999999996],"probability":0.919,"spread":0.04800000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","volume":7492.56,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-15.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.827396392822266,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:18:43.246203Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:18:43.246203Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/margin-of-victory-in-the-maine-democratic-senate-primary/kxprimarymov-senatemed","event_title":"Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?","chart_24h":[0.919,0.919,0.919,0.919]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P35","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P35","question":"Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be between 30% and 40%?","group_item_title":"Graham Platner, 30-40%","description":"If the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 30% to 40%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Graham Platner minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Graham Platner if Graham Platner wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Graham Platner loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Graham Platner minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Graham Platner if Graham Platner wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Graham Platner loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Graham Platner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Graham Platner wins, or the electoral votes received by Graham Platner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Graham Platner does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Graham Platner runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Graham Platner will be summed.\n\nIf Graham Platner wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Graham Platner loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Graham Platner ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Graham Platner is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.059,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","volume":5313.48,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.876304626464844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T00:25:36.388267Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T00:25:36.388267Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/margin-of-victory-in-the-maine-democratic-senate-primary/kxprimarymov-senatemed","event_title":"Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P45","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P45","question":"Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be between 40% and 50%?","group_item_title":"Graham Platner, 40-50%","description":"If the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 40% to 50%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Graham Platner minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Graham Platner if Graham Platner wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Graham Platner loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Graham Platner minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Graham Platner if Graham Platner wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Graham Platner loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Graham Platner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Graham Platner wins, or the electoral votes received by Graham Platner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Graham Platner does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Graham Platner runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Graham Platner will be summed.\n\nIf Graham Platner wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Graham Platner loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Graham Platner ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Graham Platner is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.065,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","volume":1491.24,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-62.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.329132080078125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:12:49.200424Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:12:49.200424Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/margin-of-victory-in-the-maine-democratic-senate-primary/kxprimarymov-senatemed","event_title":"Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P25","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P25","question":"Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be between 20% and 30%?","group_item_title":"Graham Platner, 20-30%","description":"If the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 20% to 30%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Graham Platner minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Graham Platner if Graham Platner wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Graham Platner loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Graham Platner minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Graham Platner if Graham Platner wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Graham Platner loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Graham Platner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Graham Platner wins, or the electoral votes received by Graham Platner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Graham Platner does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Graham Platner runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Graham Platner will be summed.\n\nIf Graham Platner wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Graham Platner loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Graham Platner ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Graham Platner is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.027,0.973],"probability":0.027,"spread":0.023,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","volume":3917.06,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.209497451782227,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T00:26:45.258006Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T00:25:36.388267Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/margin-of-victory-in-the-maine-democratic-senate-primary/kxprimarymov-senatemed","event_title":"Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?","chart_24h":[0.027,0.027,0.027]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P15","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P15","question":"Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be between 10% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Graham Platner, 10-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 10% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Graham Platner minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Graham Platner if Graham Platner wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Graham Platner loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Graham Platner minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Graham Platner if Graham Platner wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Graham Platner loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Graham Platner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Graham Platner wins, or the electoral votes received by Graham Platner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Graham Platner does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Graham Platner runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Graham Platner will be summed.\n\nIf Graham Platner wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Graham Platner loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Graham Platner ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Graham Platner is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.032,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-09T14:00:00Z","volume":1154.33,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.136812210083008,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:18:43.246203Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:18:43.246203Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/margin-of-victory-in-the-maine-democratic-senate-primary/kxprimarymov-senatemed","event_title":"Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED","as_of":"2026-05-27T02:53:19.485652Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?\" — top market at 1% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}