{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26","title":"New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T20:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1138.0,"volume_24hr":1138.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.66712474822998,"normalized_volume":12.778332710266113,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1103.02,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"John Sununu, ≥5%","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.89,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":100.01,"updated_at":"2026-06-18T03:33:51.250605Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T03:33:51.250605Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T20:06:03.225020Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-hampshire-republican-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatenhr26","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,701.02,1034.02,1136.02,1138.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P52","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P52","question":"Will the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary be above 5%?","group_item_title":"John Sununu, ≥5%","description":"If the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary falls within 5% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Sununu minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Sununu loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Sununu minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Sununu loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Sununu wins, or the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Sununu does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Sununu runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Sununu will be summed.\n\nIf John Sununu wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Sununu loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Sununu ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Sununu is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T20:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","volume":100.01,"volume_24hr":100.01,"prob_24h_change":0.89,"volume_24h_change":100.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.3508076667785645,"normalized_volume":6.2019853591918945,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T00:51:57.613027Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T00:51:57.613027Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T20:06:03.678009Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-hampshire-republican-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatenhr26","event_title":"New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.51,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P55","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary be above 10%?","group_item_title":"John Sununu, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Sununu minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Sununu loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Sununu minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Sununu loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Sununu wins, or the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Sununu does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Sununu runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Sununu will be summed.\n\nIf John Sununu wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Sununu loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Sununu ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Sununu is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15000000000000002],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.64,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T20:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","volume":14.99,"volume_24hr":14.99,"prob_24h_change":0.85,"volume_24h_change":14.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6517059803009033,"normalized_volume":2.23728346824646,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T04:13:55.894120Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T04:13:55.894120Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T20:06:03.678009Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-hampshire-republican-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatenhr26","event_title":"New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.16,0.16,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary be above 20%?","group_item_title":"John Sununu, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Sununu minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Sununu loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Sununu minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Sununu loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Sununu wins, or the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Sununu does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Sununu runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Sununu will be summed.\n\nIf John Sununu wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Sununu loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Sununu ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Sununu is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.17000000000000004],"probability":0.83,"spread":0.62,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T20:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","volume":14.99,"volume_24hr":14.99,"prob_24h_change":0.83,"volume_24h_change":14.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6517059803009033,"normalized_volume":2.23728346824646,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T04:13:55.894120Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T04:13:55.894120Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T20:06:03.678009Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-hampshire-republican-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatenhr26","event_title":"New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.16,0.16,0.83,0.83]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P65","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P65","question":"Will the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary be above 30%?","group_item_title":"John Sununu, ≥30%","description":"If the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary falls within 30% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Sununu minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Sununu loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Sununu minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Sununu loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Sununu wins, or the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Sununu does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Sununu runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Sununu will be summed.\n\nIf John Sununu wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Sununu loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Sununu ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Sununu is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T20:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","volume":28.0,"volume_24hr":28.0,"prob_24h_change":0.73,"volume_24h_change":28.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.913027286529541,"normalized_volume":3.3014791011810303,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:26:54.737206Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T02:26:54.737206Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T20:06:03.678009Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-hampshire-republican-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatenhr26","event_title":"New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.73]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P70","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P70","question":"Will the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary be above 40%?","group_item_title":"John Sununu, ≥40%","description":"If the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary falls within 40% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Sununu minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Sununu loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Sununu minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Sununu loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Sununu wins, or the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Sununu does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Sununu runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Sununu will be summed.\n\nIf John Sununu wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Sununu loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Sununu ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Sununu is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T20:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","volume":13.0,"volume_24hr":13.0,"prob_24h_change":0.72,"volume_24h_change":13.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.4035212993621826,"normalized_volume":2.0278866291046143,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T04:27:52.405558Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T04:27:52.405558Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T20:06:03.678009Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-hampshire-republican-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatenhr26","event_title":"New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P75","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P75","question":"Will the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary be above 50%?","group_item_title":"John Sununu, ≥50%","description":"If the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary falls within 50% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Sununu minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Sununu loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Sununu minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Sununu loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Sununu wins, or the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Sununu does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Sununu runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Sununu will be summed.\n\nIf John Sununu wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Sununu loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Sununu ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Sununu is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-17T20:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","volume":967.01,"volume_24hr":967.01,"prob_24h_change":0.44,"volume_24h_change":967.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.312719345092773,"normalized_volume":13.763282775878906,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T04:13:55.894120Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T04:13:55.894120Z","added_at":"2026-06-17T20:06:03.678009Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-hampshire-republican-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-senatenhr26","event_title":"New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26","as_of":"2026-06-18T04:40:21.090291Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 44% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}