{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","title":"TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26245.76,"volume_24hr":17236.29,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.523330688476562,"normalized_volume":26.88280487060547,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":19508.47,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Colin Allred, 5-10%","top_outcome_probability":0.35,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.35,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":628.23,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:39.521999Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:39.521999Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tx-33-democratic-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-tx33d26","chart_24h":[1020.0600000000001,4016.73,6313.68,6434.21,6442.89,6674.02,6707.26,7112.26,7136.06,7144.74,7160.4400000000005,14867.3,14922.89,15059.05,15093.77,15699.38,15750.15,15761.89,15387.36,15433.88,16296.45,16894.03,17236.29],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-CALL-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-CALL-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Colin Allred, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Colin Allred minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Colin Allred loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Colin Allred minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Colin Allred loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Colin Allred wins, or the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Colin Allred does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Colin Allred runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Colin Allred will be summed.\n\nIf Colin Allred wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Colin Allred loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Colin Allred ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Colin Allred is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.02999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":4983.18,"volume_24hr":1038.65,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":628.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.305734634399414,"normalized_volume":23.520442962646484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:04:43.418200Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:39.627984Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tx-33-democratic-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-tx33d26","event_title":"TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-CALL-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-CALL-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Colin Allred, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Colin Allred minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Colin Allred loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Colin Allred minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Colin Allred loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Colin Allred wins, or the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Colin Allred does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Colin Allred runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Colin Allred will be summed.\n\nIf Colin Allred wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Colin Allred loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Colin Allred ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Colin Allred is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":3741.44,"volume_24hr":2274.31,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":1933.8999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.428171157836914,"normalized_volume":21.96396827697754,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:04:43.418200Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:39.627984Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tx-33-democratic-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-tx33d26","event_title":"TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-CALL-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-CALL-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Colin Allred, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Colin Allred minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Colin Allred loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Colin Allred minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Colin Allred loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Colin Allred wins, or the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Colin Allred does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Colin Allred runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Colin Allred will be summed.\n\nIf Colin Allred wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Colin Allred loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Colin Allred ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Colin Allred is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":4996.19,"volume_24hr":4342.19,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":4271.86,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.162378311157227,"normalized_volume":23.534849166870117,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:38:35.458636Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:37:37.532082Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tx-33-democratic-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-tx33d26","event_title":"TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-CALL-P17","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-CALL-P17","question":"Will the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff be between 15% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Colin Allred, 15-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Colin Allred minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Colin Allred loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Colin Allred minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Colin Allred loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Colin Allred wins, or the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Colin Allred does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Colin Allred runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Colin Allred will be summed.\n\nIf Colin Allred wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Colin Allred loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Colin Allred ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Colin Allred is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":490.08,"volume_24hr":363.74,"prob_24h_change":0.05000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":363.74,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.480286598205566,"normalized_volume":12.459012985229492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:18:55.287473Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:17:36.754110Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tx-33-democratic-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-tx33d26","event_title":"TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.27,0.27,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-JJOH-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-JJOH-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Julie Johnson in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Julie Johnson, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Julie Johnson in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julie Johnson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julie Johnson if Julie Johnson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julie Johnson loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Julie Johnson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julie Johnson if Julie Johnson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julie Johnson loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julie Johnson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julie Johnson wins, or the electoral votes received by Julie Johnson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julie Johnson does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Julie Johnson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Julie Johnson will be summed.\n\nIf Julie Johnson wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Julie Johnson loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Julie Johnson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Julie Johnson is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":2080.95,"volume_24hr":420.42,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":143.91000000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.098943710327148,"normalized_volume":18.94449234008789,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T13:25:12.308875Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T13:25:12.308875Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tx-33-democratic-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-tx33d26","event_title":"TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-CALL-P22","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-CALL-P22","question":"Will the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff be between 20% and 25%?","group_item_title":"Colin Allred, 20-25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff falls within 20% to 25%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Colin Allred minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Colin Allred loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Colin Allred minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Colin Allred loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Colin Allred wins, or the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Colin Allred does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Colin Allred runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Colin Allred will be summed.\n\nIf Colin Allred wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Colin Allred loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Colin Allred ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Colin Allred is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.030000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":724.4,"volume_24hr":268.25,"prob_24h_change":-0.06,"volume_24h_change":268.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.228975296020508,"normalized_volume":14.077144622802734,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:18:55.287473Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:17:36.754110Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tx-33-democratic-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-tx33d26","event_title":"TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-CALL-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-CALL-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff be above 25%?","group_item_title":"Colin Allred, ≥25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Colin Allred minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Colin Allred loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Colin Allred minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Colin Allred loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Colin Allred wins, or the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Colin Allred does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Colin Allred runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Colin Allred will be summed.\n\nIf Colin Allred wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Colin Allred loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Colin Allred ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Colin Allred is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":1073.85,"volume_24hr":486.52,"prob_24h_change":-0.11,"volume_24h_change":486.52,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.738142013549805,"normalized_volume":15.808063507080078,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:18:55.287473Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:17:36.754110Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tx-33-democratic-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-tx33d26","event_title":"TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.02,0.02,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-JJOH-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-JJOH-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Julie Johnson in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Julie Johnson, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Julie Johnson in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julie Johnson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julie Johnson if Julie Johnson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julie Johnson loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Julie Johnson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julie Johnson if Julie Johnson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julie Johnson loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julie Johnson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julie Johnson wins, or the electoral votes received by Julie Johnson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julie Johnson does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Julie Johnson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Julie Johnson will be summed.\n\nIf Julie Johnson wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Julie Johnson loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Julie Johnson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Julie Johnson is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":136.67,"volume_24hr":31.21,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":31.21,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.323836803436279,"normalized_volume":7.869795322418213,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T11:28:06.354557Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T11:27:05.300432Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tx-33-democratic-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-tx33d26","event_title":"TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-JJOH-P55","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26-JJOH-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for Julie Johnson in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff be above 10%?","group_item_title":"Julie Johnson, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Julie Johnson in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julie Johnson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julie Johnson if Julie Johnson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julie Johnson loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Julie Johnson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julie Johnson if Julie Johnson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julie Johnson loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julie Johnson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julie Johnson wins, or the electoral votes received by Julie Johnson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julie Johnson does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Julie Johnson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Julie Johnson will be summed.\n\nIf Julie Johnson wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Julie Johnson loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Julie Johnson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Julie Johnson is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":8019.0,"volume_24hr":8011.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":7611.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.975698471069336,"normalized_volume":26.221982955932617,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:12:01.654607Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T04:43:34.333882Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tx-33-democratic-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-tx33d26","event_title":"TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-TX33D26","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:07:59.843805Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?\" — top market at 1% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}