{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL","title":"NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-07T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":950.0,"volume_24hr":950.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.805727005004883,"normalized_volume":12.79288101196289,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":900.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Maura Sullivan, ≥15%","top_outcome_probability":0.03,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":950.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T00:24:14.618637Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T00:24:14.618637Z","added_at":"2026-09-07T18:04:09.380584Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymovd/nh-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-maura-sullivan/kxprimarymovd-nh1d26msul","chart_24h":[0.0,50.0,950.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL-MSUL-P15","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL-MSUL-P15","question":"Will the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Maura Sullivan, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Maura Sullivan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Maura Sullivan if Maura Sullivan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Maura Sullivan loses. If Maura Sullivan wins, the margin will be positive; if Maura Sullivan loses, the margin will be negative; if Maura Sullivan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Maura Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-07T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","volume":950.0,"volume_24hr":950.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":950.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.86482048034668,"normalized_volume":14.639046669006348,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T00:24:14.805045Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T00:24:14.805045Z","added_at":"2026-09-07T18:04:09.482710Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymovd/nh-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-maura-sullivan/kxprimarymovd-nh1d26msul","event_title":"NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL-MSUL-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL-MSUL-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at least 12%?","group_item_title":"Maura Sullivan, ≥12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Maura Sullivan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Maura Sullivan if Maura Sullivan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Maura Sullivan loses. If Maura Sullivan wins, the margin will be positive; if Maura Sullivan loses, the margin will be negative; if Maura Sullivan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Maura Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.16999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-07T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T23:53:09.533663Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T23:53:09.533663Z","added_at":"2026-09-07T18:04:09.482710Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymovd/nh-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-maura-sullivan/kxprimarymovd-nh1d26msul","event_title":"NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL-MSUL-P3","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL-MSUL-P3","question":"Will the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at least 3%?","group_item_title":"Maura Sullivan, ≥3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Maura Sullivan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Maura Sullivan if Maura Sullivan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Maura Sullivan loses. If Maura Sullivan wins, the margin will be positive; if Maura Sullivan loses, the margin will be negative; if Maura Sullivan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Maura Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.21999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-07T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T23:53:09.533663Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T23:53:09.533663Z","added_at":"2026-09-07T18:04:09.482710Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymovd/nh-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-maura-sullivan/kxprimarymovd-nh1d26msul","event_title":"NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL-MSUL-P6","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL-MSUL-P6","question":"Will the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at least 6%?","group_item_title":"Maura Sullivan, ≥6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Maura Sullivan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Maura Sullivan if Maura Sullivan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Maura Sullivan loses. If Maura Sullivan wins, the margin will be positive; if Maura Sullivan loses, the margin will be negative; if Maura Sullivan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Maura Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-07T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T02:23:52.509072Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T02:23:52.509072Z","added_at":"2026-09-07T18:04:09.482710Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymovd/nh-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-maura-sullivan/kxprimarymovd-nh1d26msul","event_title":"NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL-MSUL-P9","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL-MSUL-P9","question":"Will the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at least 9%?","group_item_title":"Maura Sullivan, ≥9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Maura Sullivan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Maura Sullivan if Maura Sullivan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Maura Sullivan loses. If Maura Sullivan wins, the margin will be positive; if Maura Sullivan loses, the margin will be negative; if Maura Sullivan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Maura Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-07T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T02:23:52.509072Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T02:23:52.509072Z","added_at":"2026-09-07T18:04:09.482710Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymovd/nh-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-maura-sullivan/kxprimarymovd-nh1d26msul","event_title":"NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOVD-NH1D26MSUL","as_of":"2026-09-08T02:40:41.375314Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)\" — top market at 3% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}