{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2","ticker":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2","slug":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2","title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18137.510000000002,"volume_24hr":2823.4100000000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.23563003540039,"normalized_volume":27.262821197509766,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":9294.07,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"SENATEMID26-2","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Haley Stevens","top_outcome_probability":0.7,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.14,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":750.65,"updated_at":"2026-07-05T20:50:55.746018Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-05T20:50:55.746018Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimaryplace/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-2nd-place/kxprimaryplace-senatemid26-2","chart_24h":[40.3,1980.3,2180.73,2183.55,2411.17,2695.3100000000004,2823.4100000000003],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2-HSTE","event_id":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2","slug":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2-HSTE","question":"Will Haley Stevens finish 2nd in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"Haley Stevens","description":"If Haley Stevens finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.19000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":9337.6,"volume_24hr":750.65,"prob_24h_change":-0.14,"volume_24h_change":750.65,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.20998477935791,"normalized_volume":24.717662811279297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-05T21:16:46.154867Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-05T21:16:46.154867Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimaryplace/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-2nd-place/kxprimaryplace-senatemid26-2","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place","chart_24h":[0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.67,0.94,0.7]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2-AELS","event_id":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2","slug":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2-AELS","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed finish 2nd in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"Abdul El-Sayed","description":"If Abdul El-Sayed finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":2092.81,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.3132895231246948,"normalized_volume":17.29362678527832,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-05T21:16:46.154867Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-05T21:16:46.154867Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimaryplace/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-2nd-place/kxprimaryplace-senatemid26-2","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2-MMCM","event_id":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2","slug":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2-MMCM","question":"Will Mallory McMorrow finish 2nd in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"Mallory McMorrow","description":"If Mallory McMorrow finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":6707.1,"volume_24hr":2066.76,"prob_24h_change":-0.1,"volume_24h_change":2066.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.213632583618164,"normalized_volume":22.96099853515625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-05T20:13:24.720338Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-05T20:11:13.248257Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimaryplace/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-2nd-place/kxprimaryplace-senatemid26-2","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2","as_of":"2026-07-05T21:43:11.414658Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place\" — top market at 1% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}