{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","ticker":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","slug":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","title":"Number of rate hikes in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13136.31,"volume_24hr":13134.31,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.528690338134766,"normalized_volume":24.38812255859375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":11725.01,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Exactly 2","top_outcome_probability":0.64,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.64,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3150.17,"updated_at":"2026-09-16T22:22:31.243411Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T22:22:31.243411Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T17:05:54.627141Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026","chart_24h":[2.01,3.3,3.3,5.3,13.73,6637.46,8997.82,11284.95,11394.57,12991.07,13131.26,13134.31],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-2","event_id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","slug":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-2","question":"Will there be exactly 2 Fed rate hikes in 2026?","group_item_title":"Exactly 2","description":"If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note the following definition of a \"rate hike\": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","volume":3150.17,"volume_24hr":3150.17,"prob_24h_change":0.64,"volume_24h_change":3150.17,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.641281127929688,"normalized_volume":20.20075225830078,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T22:22:31.458011Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T22:22:31.458011Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T17:05:54.879662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026","event_title":"Number of rate hikes in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-1","event_id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","slug":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-1","question":"Will there be exactly 1 Fed rate hike in 2026?","group_item_title":"Exactly 1","description":"If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note the following definition of a \"rate hike\": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","volume":3170.35,"volume_24hr":3170.35,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":3170.35,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.681936264038086,"normalized_volume":20.23278045654297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T21:41:02.413733Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T21:41:02.413733Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T17:05:54.879662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026","event_title":"Number of rate hikes in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-3","event_id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","slug":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-3","question":"Will there be exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026?","group_item_title":"Exactly 3","description":"If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note the following definition of a \"rate hike\": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","volume":3589.28,"volume_24hr":3589.28,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":3589.28,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.4785099029541,"normalized_volume":20.860336303710938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T22:22:31.458011Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T22:22:31.458011Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T17:05:54.879662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026","event_title":"Number of rate hikes in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-4PLUS","event_id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","slug":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-4PLUS","question":"Will there be at least 4 Fed rate hikes in 2026?","group_item_title":"At least 4","description":"If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is at least 4, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note the following definition of a \"rate hike\": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","volume":0.51,"volume_24hr":0.51,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":0.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.06710844486951828,"normalized_volume":0.05286946892738342,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T19:07:21.406024Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T19:07:21.406024Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T17:05:54.879662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026","event_title":"Number of rate hikes in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.03,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-0","event_id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","slug":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-0","question":"Will there be exactly 0 Fed rate hikes in 2026?","group_item_title":"Exactly 0","description":"If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note the following definition of a \"rate hike\": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-15T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-16T18:28:41Z","volume":3226.0,"volume_24hr":3224.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.09000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":3222.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.78892707824707,"normalized_volume":20.320188522338867,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T20:04:06.735952Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T20:04:06.735952Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T17:05:54.879662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026","event_title":"Number of rate hikes in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRATEHIKE-2026","as_of":"2026-09-16T22:56:04.704648Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Number of rate hikes in 2026?\" — top market at 14% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}