{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRATEHIKE-2026","as_of":"2026-11-01T06:56:21.869529Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Number of rate hikes in 2026?\" — \"Exactly 2\" leads at 71% across 5 outcomes as of 2026-11-01 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRATEHIKE-2026","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","ticker":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","slug":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","title":"Number of rate hikes in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":374037.70999999996,"volume_24hr":886.21,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.240497589111328,"normalized_volume":44.001487731933594,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":177836.22,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Exactly 2","top_outcome_probability":0.71,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1905.67,"updated_at":"2026-11-01T06:49:05.714907Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T06:49:05.714907Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T17:05:54.627141Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026","chart_24h":[7342.0,7310.79,7263.429999999999,7172.869999999999,7126.3099999999995,6650.85,6604.75,6603.39,6587.530000000001,6473.629999999999,6029.25,6367.530000000001,4545.97,2856.48,2847.48,1529.22,1470.8,1469.8899999999999,1209.6599999999999,1170.36,1176.61,977.39,1025.33,1045.33,1061.19,993.5200000000001],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-2","event_id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","slug":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-2","question":"Will there be exactly 2 Fed rate hikes in 2026?","group_item_title":"Exactly 2","description":"If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note the following definition of a \"rate hike\": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.71,0.29000000000000004],"probability":0.71,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":52515.81,"volume_24hr":92.58,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1905.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.592350482940674,"normalized_volume":36.548404693603516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T04:23:20.931325Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T04:23:20.931325Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T17:05:54.879662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026","event_title":"Number of rate hikes in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-1","event_id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","slug":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-1","question":"Will there be exactly 1 Fed rate hike in 2026?","group_item_title":"Exactly 1","description":"If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note the following definition of a \"rate hike\": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.019999999999999962,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":213326.09,"volume_24hr":793.63,"prob_24h_change":0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-3442.9399999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.434925079345703,"normalized_volume":46.583106994628906,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T06:49:05.812592Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T06:49:05.812592Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T17:05:54.879662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026","event_title":"Number of rate hikes in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.3]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-4PLUS","event_id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","slug":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-4PLUS","question":"Will there be at least 4 Fed rate hikes in 2026?","group_item_title":"At least 4","description":"If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is at least 4, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note the following definition of a \"rate hike\": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":11004.89,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.794248580932617,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-31T13:07:32.059699Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T13:07:32.059699Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T17:05:54.879662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026","event_title":"Number of rate hikes in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-0","event_id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","slug":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-0","question":"Will there be exactly 0 Fed rate hikes in 2026?","group_item_title":"Exactly 0","description":"If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note the following definition of a \"rate hike\": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-15T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-16T18:28:41Z","result":"no","volume":3226.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.19512176513672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T18:17:28.713643Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T18:17:28.713643Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T17:05:54.879662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026","event_title":"Number of rate hikes in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-3","event_id":"KXRATEHIKE-2026","slug":"KXRATEHIKE-2026-3","question":"Will there be exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026?","group_item_title":"Exactly 3","description":"If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPlease note the following definition of a \"rate hike\": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":93964.92,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-761.11,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.565914154052734,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-31T22:06:04.041569Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T22:06:04.041569Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T17:05:54.879662Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratehike/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026/kxratehike-2026","event_title":"Number of rate hikes in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}]}