{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","ticker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":95696.15,"volume_24hr":10.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.648966670036316,"normalized_volume":35.596866607666016,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":33796.89,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Italy","top_outcome_probability":0.15,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T15:45:54.720641Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T15:45:54.720641Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-NZ","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-NZ","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"New Zealand","description":"If New Zealand recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":9704.31,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.07,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.967475950717926,"normalized_volume":23.637666702270508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-JAP","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-JAP","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Japan","description":"If Japan recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.065,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":14440.94,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.967475950717926,"normalized_volume":25.728742599487305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:33:05.529357Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.065,0.065,0.065]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-ITA","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-ITA","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Italy","description":"If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.079,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":13060.92,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.191980361938477,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:57:22.741496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:05:27.093120Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SWI","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SWI","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Switzerland","description":"If Switzerland recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.099,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6943.49,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.94540023803711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:57:22.741496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:05:27.093120Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-AUS","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-AUS","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Austria","description":"If Austria recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.095,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":8753.55,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.109729766845703,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T08:35:15.821838Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T08:06:56.888475Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Germany","description":"If Germany recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.086,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6508.47,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.625591278076172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SK","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SK","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"South Korea","description":"If South Korea recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.087,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":477.45,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.67890453338623,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-PAN","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-PAN","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Panama","description":"If Panama recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.086,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6713.75,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.778793334960938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T08:35:15.821838Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T08:06:56.888475Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SIN","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SIN","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Singapore","description":"If Singapore recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":546.36,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.149710655212402,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:20:37.159699Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T05:39:52.271635Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"The Netherlands","description":"If the Netherlands recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.099,0.901],"probability":0.099,"spread":0.07900000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":5511.19,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.814250946044922,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:57:22.741496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:05:27.093120Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-FIN","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-FIN","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Finland","description":"If Finland recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.074,0.926],"probability":0.074,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":9462.28,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.50779914855957,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.074,0.074,0.074,0.074]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GRE","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GRE","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Greece","description":"If Greece recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":7048.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.01957893371582,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:57:22.741496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:05:27.093120Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-USA","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-USA","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"USA","description":"If the United States of America recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.018,0.982],"probability":0.018,"spread":0.092,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6525.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.638416290283203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T17:51:26.042716Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.018,0.018,0.018]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","as_of":"2026-07-12T20:59:56.413021Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?\" — top market at 10% probability across 13 outcomes","source_url":null}}