{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","ticker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":98148.23,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.27102279663086,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":35236.83,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Italy","top_outcome_probability":0.13,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-25T23:40:42.716808Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T23:40:42.716808Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-ITA","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-ITA","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Italy","description":"If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.028999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":14116.16,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.42196273803711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T01:36:35.295191Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T00:19:11.722470Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-FIN","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-FIN","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Finland","description":"If Finland recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.05499999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":10104.29,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.467805862426758,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T21:17:46.895616Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T19:35:27.823643Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-JAP","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-JAP","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Japan","description":"If Japan recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.064,0.9359999999999999],"probability":0.064,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":14459.99,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.565298080444336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T09:02:02.885116Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T09:02:02.885116Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.064,0.064,0.064,0.064]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-NZ","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-NZ","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"New Zealand","description":"If New Zealand recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.063,0.937],"probability":0.063,"spread":0.059,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":9724.07,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.248088836669922,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T19:51:53.248147Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T19:51:53.248147Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.063,0.063,0.063,0.063]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GRE","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GRE","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Greece","description":"If Greece recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.061,0.9390000000000001],"probability":0.061,"spread":0.02500000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":7147.05,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.517515182495117,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T17:01:31.489710Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T16:01:08.992846Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.061,0.061]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"The Netherlands","description":"If the Netherlands recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":5692.26,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.27631187438965,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T08:45:44.193146Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T08:45:44.193146Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SWI","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SWI","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Switzerland","description":"If Switzerland recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.032,0.968],"probability":0.032,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6944.51,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.358951568603516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T16:39:59.062005Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T16:39:59.062005Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.032,0.032]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SIN","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SIN","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Singapore","description":"If Singapore recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.031,0.969],"probability":0.031,"spread":0.06599999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":939.86,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.593315124511719,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T01:36:35.295191Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T00:19:11.722470Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.031,0.031]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-PAN","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-PAN","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Panama","description":"If Panama recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.028,0.972],"probability":0.028,"spread":0.041999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6714.76,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.174043655395508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T08:45:44.193146Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T08:45:44.193146Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.028,0.028]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Germany","description":"If Germany recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.027,0.973],"probability":0.027,"spread":0.05399999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6516.82,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.010181427001953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T19:35:27.823643Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T19:35:27.823643Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027,0.027]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SK","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SK","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"South Korea","description":"If South Korea recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.026,0.974],"probability":0.026,"spread":0.089,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":478.46,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.861078262329102,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T16:57:23.707827Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T16:57:23.707827Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.026,0.026,0.026,0.026,0.026]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-AUS","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-AUS","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Austria","description":"If Austria recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.953,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":8754.56,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.651134490966797,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T21:31:50.734592Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T21:31:50.734592Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-USA","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-USA","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"USA","description":"If the United States of America recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.017,0.983],"probability":0.017,"spread":0.046,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6555.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.042495727539062,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T19:35:27.823643Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T19:35:27.823643Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","as_of":"2026-08-26T23:11:15.421369Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?\" — top market at 13% probability across 13 outcomes","source_url":null}}