{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","ticker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":91914.34,"volume_24hr":1926.56,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.283449172973633,"normalized_volume":33.913150787353516,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":35040.99,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"New Zealand","top_outcome_probability":0.19,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-24.86,"updated_at":"2026-05-27T02:52:16.292231Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T02:52:16.292231Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","chart_24h":[135.6,186.48,1026.61,929.48,891.01,1476.56,1476.56],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-USA","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-USA","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"USA","description":"If the United States of America recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.06899999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":4550.45,"volume_24hr":1926.56,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":1476.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.182836532592773,"normalized_volume":23.021312713623047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T02:52:16.370824Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T02:52:16.370824Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09,0.089,0.089,0.089,0.087,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-NZ","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-NZ","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"New Zealand","description":"If New Zealand recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":9245.76,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-24.86,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.05890655517578,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T02:52:16.370824Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T02:52:16.370824Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"The Netherlands","description":"If the Netherlands recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.084,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":5134.69,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.68618392944336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:32:31.826628Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:32:31.826628Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-JAP","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-JAP","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Japan","description":"If Japan recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.099,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":14429.94,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.760929107666016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T02:39:11.253816Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T02:39:11.253816Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SWI","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SWI","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Switzerland","description":"If Switzerland recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.169,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6769.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.242835998535156,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T02:39:11.253816Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T02:39:11.253816Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GRE","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GRE","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Greece","description":"If Greece recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.07900000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":7021.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.45245933532715,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T07:07:56.591287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T03:13:52.457180Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Germany","description":"If Germany recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.098,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6502.47,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-38.47,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.013460159301758,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:23.120919Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:23.120919Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SIN","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SIN","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Singapore","description":"If Singapore recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":100.8,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-21.86,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.934663772583008,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T02:39:11.253816Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T02:39:11.253816Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SK","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SK","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"South Korea","description":"If South Korea recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.136,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":471.45,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.303977012634277,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T02:39:11.253816Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T02:39:11.253816Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-ITA","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-ITA","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Italy","description":"If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.08800000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":12975.59,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.104385375976562,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T00:12:17.394285Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T00:12:17.394285Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-FIN","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-FIN","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Finland","description":"If Finland recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.093,0.907],"probability":0.093,"spread":0.05700000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":9279.19,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-50.41,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.080297470092773,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:32:31.826628Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:32:31.826628Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.093,0.093,0.093,0.093,0.093,0.093,0.093]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-AUS","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-AUS","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Austria","description":"If Austria recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.085,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":8727.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.717830657958984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T00:12:17.394285Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T00:12:17.394285Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-PAN","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-PAN","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Panama","description":"If Panama recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.032,0.968],"probability":0.032,"spread":0.087,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6707.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.190202713012695,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:23.120919Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:23.120919Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.032,0.032,0.032]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","as_of":"2026-05-27T02:52:52.906302Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?\" — top market at 12% probability across 13 outcomes","source_url":null}}