{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","as_of":"2026-10-11T21:40:09.559340Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?\" — 13 markets; highest \"New Zealand\" at 12% as of 2026-10-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","ticker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":100026.2,"volume_24hr":47.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.471604824066162,"normalized_volume":35.668487548828125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":35255.39,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"New Zealand","top_outcome_probability":0.12,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-11T16:13:41.066146Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T16:13:41.066146Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","chart_24h":[0.0,47.03],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":13,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"The Netherlands","description":"If the Netherlands recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\nA formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\nEstablishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\nOpening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\nSigning of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\nAn official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\nA formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do NOT constitute recognition:\n\nTrade relations or commercial agreements alone\nConsular relations without diplomatic relations\nParticipation in the same international conference\nHumanitarian assistance or aid\nCultural or educational exchanges\nRecognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\nStatements of \"support\" without formal recognition\nDe facto cooperation without formal recognition\nRecognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\nParliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\nFor clarity: recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.04800000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":6017.0,"volume_24hr":47.03,"prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":47.03,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.065618991851807,"normalized_volume":23.575910568237305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:37:33.130809Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:37:33.130809Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-NZ","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-NZ","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"New Zealand","description":"If New Zealand recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\nA formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\nEstablishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\nOpening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\nSigning of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\nAn official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\nA formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do NOT constitute recognition:\n\nTrade relations or commercial agreements alone\nConsular relations without diplomatic relations\nParticipation in the same international conference\nHumanitarian assistance or aid\nCultural or educational exchanges\nRecognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\nStatements of \"support\" without formal recognition\nDe facto cooperation without formal recognition\nRecognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\nParliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\nFor clarity: recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.051000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":9866.48,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.331266403198242,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T20:31:56.774721Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T20:31:56.774721Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-USA","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-USA","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"USA","description":"If the United States of America recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.07300000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":6895.98,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.320350646972656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T02:10:45.383464Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T02:10:45.383464Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Germany","description":"If Germany recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\nA formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\nEstablishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\nOpening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\nSigning of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\nAn official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\nA formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do NOT constitute recognition:\n\nTrade relations or commercial agreements alone\nConsular relations without diplomatic relations\nParticipation in the same international conference\nHumanitarian assistance or aid\nCultural or educational exchanges\nRecognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\nStatements of \"support\" without formal recognition\nDe facto cooperation without formal recognition\nRecognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\nParliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\nFor clarity: recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.093,0.907],"probability":0.093,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":6579.65,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.062665939331055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:37:33.130809Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:37:33.130809Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.093,0.093,0.093]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-AUS","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-AUS","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Austria","description":"If Austria recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.088,0.912],"probability":0.088,"spread":0.077,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":8820.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.693254470825195,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T02:10:45.383464Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T02:10:45.383464Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SIN","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SIN","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Singapore","description":"If Singapore recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.079,0.921],"probability":0.079,"spread":0.068,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":945.87,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.620471000671387,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T22:26:40.992734Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T22:26:40.992734Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-JAP","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-JAP","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Japan","description":"If Japan recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\nA formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\nEstablishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\nOpening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\nSigning of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\nAn official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\nA formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do NOT constitute recognition:\n\nTrade relations or commercial agreements alone\nConsular relations without diplomatic relations\nParticipation in the same international conference\nHumanitarian assistance or aid\nCultural or educational exchanges\nRecognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\nStatements of \"support\" without formal recognition\nDe facto cooperation without formal recognition\nRecognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\nParliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\nFor clarity: recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.03200000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":14673.05,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.65259552001953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T09:35:37.332512Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T09:35:37.332512Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-ITA","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-ITA","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Italy","description":"If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\nA formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\nEstablishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\nOpening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\nSigning of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\nAn official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\nA formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do NOT constitute recognition:\n\nTrade relations or commercial agreements alone\nConsular relations without diplomatic relations\nParticipation in the same international conference\nHumanitarian assistance or aid\nCultural or educational exchanges\nRecognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\nStatements of \"support\" without formal recognition\nDe facto cooperation without formal recognition\nRecognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\nParliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\nFor clarity: recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.041,0.959],"probability":0.041,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":14362.69,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.525049209594727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:37:33.130809Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:37:33.130809Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SWI","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SWI","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Switzerland","description":"If Switzerland recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\nA formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\nEstablishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\nOpening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\nSigning of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\nAn official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\nA formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do NOT constitute recognition:\n\nTrade relations or commercial agreements alone\nConsular relations without diplomatic relations\nParticipation in the same international conference\nHumanitarian assistance or aid\nCultural or educational exchanges\nRecognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\nStatements of \"support\" without formal recognition\nDe facto cooperation without formal recognition\nRecognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\nParliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\nFor clarity: recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.032,0.968],"probability":0.032,"spread":0.064,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":6944.51,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.358951568603516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:37:33.130809Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:37:33.130809Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.032,0.032,0.032]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-PAN","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-PAN","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Panama","description":"If Panama recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\nA formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\nEstablishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\nOpening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\nSigning of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\nAn official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\nA formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do NOT constitute recognition:\n\nTrade relations or commercial agreements alone\nConsular relations without diplomatic relations\nParticipation in the same international conference\nHumanitarian assistance or aid\nCultural or educational exchanges\nRecognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\nStatements of \"support\" without formal recognition\nDe facto cooperation without formal recognition\nRecognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\nParliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\nFor clarity: recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.028,0.972],"probability":0.028,"spread":0.05900000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":6714.76,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.174043655395508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T09:21:50.435058Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T09:21:50.435058Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.028,0.028]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GRE","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GRE","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Greece","description":"If Greece recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":7336.42,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.662202835083008,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T22:07:16.628460Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T22:07:16.628460Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SK","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SK","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"South Korea","description":"If South Korea recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\n- A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\n- Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\n- Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\n- Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\n- An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\n- A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute recognition:\n\n- Trade relations or commercial agreements alone\n- Consular relations without diplomatic relations\n- Participation in the same international conference\n- Humanitarian assistance or aid\n- Cultural or educational exchanges\n- Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\n- Statements of \"support\" without formal recognition\n- De facto cooperation without formal recognition\n- Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\n- Parliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\n**For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.068,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":484.46,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.908920288085938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T22:26:40.992734Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T22:26:40.992734Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-FIN","event_id":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","slug":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-FIN","question":"Who will recognize Palestine?","group_item_title":"Finland","description":"If Finland recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOfficial diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:\n\nA formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state\nEstablishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level\nOpening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates)\nSigning of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations\nAn official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty\nA formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister\n\nThe following do NOT constitute recognition:\n\nTrade relations or commercial agreements alone\nConsular relations without diplomatic relations\nParticipation in the same international conference\nHumanitarian assistance or aid\nCultural or educational exchanges\nRecognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities)\nStatements of \"support\" without formal recognition\nDe facto cooperation without formal recognition\nRecognition conditional on future events that have not occurred\nParliamentary resolutions without executive action\n\nFor clarity: recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.011,0.989],"probability":0.011,"spread":0.043,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":10385.3,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.625503540039062,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T18:37:33.130809Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T18:37:33.130809Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpalestine/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/kxrecogpalestine-27","event_title":"Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.011,0.011,0.011]}]}