{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26","ticker":"KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26","slug":"KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26","title":"Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":955486.8,"volume_24hr":980.89,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.052286148071289,"normalized_volume":47.555877685546875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":224283.38,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.059,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":27.899999999999977,"updated_at":"2026-06-22T08:03:23.113606Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T08:03:23.113606Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpersoniran/will-the-united-states-recognize-reza-pahlavi-as-the-leader-of-iran-in-2026/kxrecogpersoniran-26","chart_24h":[938.37,917.35,924.35,913.94,918.98,896.98,879.75,391.18,391.34,94.75,1039.47,980.47,965.85,980.89],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26","event_id":"KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26","slug":"KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26","question":"Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran. Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.059,0.9410000000000001],"probability":0.059,"spread":0.0020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":955486.8,"volume_24hr":980.89,"prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":27.899999999999977,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.159048080444336,"normalized_volume":55.47007369995117,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T11:07:49.959490Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T08:03:23.357543Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogpersoniran/will-the-united-states-recognize-reza-pahlavi-as-the-leader-of-iran-in-2026/kxrecogpersoniran-26","event_title":"Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.063,0.063,0.063,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.059,0.059]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26","as_of":"2026-06-22T14:55:20.552529Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}