{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","ticker":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","slug":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-18T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31427.089999999997,"volume_24hr":5.78,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2754485607147217,"normalized_volume":29.04689598083496,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8661.82,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 20, 2029","top_outcome_probability":0.45,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5.78,"updated_at":"2026-09-19T21:55:25.713835Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T21:55:25.713835Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogsomali/will-trump-recognize-somaliland/kxrecogsomali-29","chart_24h":[17.0,0.0,5.78],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","event_id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","slug":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","question":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 20, 2029","description":"If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.\n\nMerely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes. Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify. Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient. Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state. Nor does U.S. abstention or vote in an international organization automatically equate to bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-18T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","volume":18120.78,"volume_24hr":5.78,"prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":5.78,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.3553292751312256,"normalized_volume":29.926990509033203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Somalia"],"updated_at":"2026-09-19T21:55:26.000365Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T21:55:26.000365Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogsomali/will-trump-recognize-somaliland/kxrecogsomali-29","event_title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","chart_24h":[0.41,0.41,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29-27","event_id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","slug":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29-27","question":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.\n\nMerely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes. Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify. Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient. Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state. Nor does U.S. abstention or vote in an international organization automatically equate to bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-14T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":13306.31,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-89.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.07159423828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Somalia","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-19T19:47:58.816130Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T19:47:58.816130Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogsomali/will-trump-recognize-somaliland/kxrecogsomali-29","event_title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRECOGSOMALI-29","as_of":"2026-09-19T23:16:08.284087Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?\" — top market at 45% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}