{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","ticker":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","slug":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-18T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22300.79,"volume_24hr":48.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.616926670074463,"normalized_volume":26.39594841003418,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8375.52,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 20, 2029","top_outcome_probability":0.67,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-12.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:30:11.913551Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T02:30:11.913551Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogsomali/will-trump-recognize-somaliland/kxrecogsomali-29","chart_24h":[12.0,0.0,24.0,48.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29-27","event_id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","slug":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29-27","question":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.\n\nMerely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes. Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify. Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient. Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state. Nor does U.S. abstention or vote in an international organization automatically equate to bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-14T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":6878.2,"volume_24hr":48.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":-52.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.971352577209473,"normalized_volume":23.932451248168945,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Somalia","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:31:51.393123Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T02:30:12.131553Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogsomali/will-trump-recognize-somaliland/kxrecogsomali-29","event_title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","event_id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","slug":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","question":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 20, 2029","description":"If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.\n\nMerely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes. Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify. Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient. Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state. Nor does U.S. abstention or vote in an international organization automatically equate to bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.67,0.32999999999999996],"probability":0.67,"spread":0.07000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-18T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","volume":15422.59,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.505826950073242,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Somalia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:39:28.782329Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T21:02:46.740556Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogsomali/will-trump-recognize-somaliland/kxrecogsomali-29","event_title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","chart_24h":[0.67,0.67,0.67]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRECOGSOMALI-29","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:07:51.319034Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?\" — top market at 23% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}