{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRECOGSOMALI-29","as_of":"2026-11-04T02:06:18.629436Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?\" — 3 markets; highest \"Before Jan 20, 2029\" at 50% as of 2026-11-03 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRECOGSOMALI-29","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogsomali/will-trump-recognize-somaliland/kxrecogsomali-29"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","ticker":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","slug":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-18T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":35805.049999999996,"volume_24hr":421.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.033514022827148,"normalized_volume":29.299339294433594,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8888.66,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 20, 2029","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":21.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-03T23:17:48.648182Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T23:17:48.648182Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogsomali/will-trump-recognize-somaliland/kxrecogsomali-29","chart_24h":[0.0,21.0,421.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":3,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","event_id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","slug":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","question":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 20, 2029","description":"If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.\n\nMerely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes. Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify. Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient. Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state. Nor does U.S. abstention or vote in an international organization automatically equate to bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-18T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":18469.14,"volume_24hr":21.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":21.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1138081550598145,"normalized_volume":27.920005798339844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Somalia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T22:13:48.018737Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T22:13:48.018737Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogsomali/will-trump-recognize-somaliland/kxrecogsomali-29","event_title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","chart_24h":[0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29-27","event_id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","slug":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29-27","question":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.\n\nMerely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes. Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify. Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient. Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state. Nor does U.S. abstention or vote in an international organization automatically equate to bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.017999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-14T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":17047.42,"volume_24hr":400.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.024,"volume_24h_change":400.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.70872974395752,"normalized_volume":27.466577529907227,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Somalia","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T23:17:48.831801Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T23:17:48.831801Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogsomali/will-trump-recognize-somaliland/kxrecogsomali-29","event_title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","chart_24h":[0.064,0.064,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29-28","event_id":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29","slug":"KXRECOGSOMALI-29-28","question":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.\n\nMerely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes. Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify. Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient. Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state. Nor does U.S. abstention or vote in an international organization automatically equate to bilateral recognition.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T19:35:40Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":288.49,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.294475555419922,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T22:13:48.018737Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T22:13:48.018737Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T18:47:12.166187Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogsomali/will-trump-recognize-somaliland/kxrecogsomali-29","event_title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.38,0.38]}]}