{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECSSNBER-27","ticker":"KXRECSSNBER-27","slug":"KXRECSSNBER-27","title":"Recession in 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-24T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40055.32,"volume_24hr":193.64,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.309582710266113,"normalized_volume":29.574201583862305,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":22907.07,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.41,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-284.83000000000004,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:23.059975Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:23:23.059975Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecssnber/recession-in-2027/kxrecssnber-27","chart_24h":[480.47,480.47,492.47,528.47,520.47,616.47,597.47,601.47,193.95,190.95,217.95,213.95,193.64],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRECSSNBER-27","event_id":"KXRECSSNBER-27","slug":"KXRECSSNBER-27","question":"Will there be a recession in 2027?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor the avoidance of doubt, qualifying consecutive quarters may include Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.\n\nGDP growth refers to the quarter-over-quarter annualized percent change in real GDP as reported in the Advance Estimate for each quarter.\n\nThe market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.5900000000000001],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-24T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-31T13:25:00Z","volume":40055.32,"volume_24hr":193.64,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-284.83000000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.953719139099121,"normalized_volume":34.42720031738281,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:35:50.950936Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:36:40.456045Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecssnber/recession-in-2027/kxrecssnber-27","event_title":"Recession in 2027?","chart_24h":[0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRECSSNBER-27","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:23:17.736684Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Recession in 2027?\" — top market at 41% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}