{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","ticker":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2587.3199999999997,"volume_24hr":2587.3199999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.140409469604492,"normalized_volume":16.70916748046875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1917.6599999999999,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Texas","top_outcome_probability":0.34,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.34,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":500.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.453593Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.453593Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.424543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","chart_24h":[3.0,754.0,1254.0,2587.3199999999997],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-TX","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-TX","question":"Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Texas","description":"If Texas is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.6599999999999999],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":500.0,"volume_24hr":500.0,"prob_24h_change":0.34,"volume_24h_change":500.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.245750427246094,"normalized_volume":12.030567169189453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T03:02:38.249129Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T03:02:38.249129Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-AK","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-AK","question":"Will Alaska be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Alaska","description":"If Alaska is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.4,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":252.0,"volume_24hr":252.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":250.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.87109661102295,"normalized_volume":9.531513214111328,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T03:02:38.249129Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T03:02:38.249129Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-OH","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-OH","question":"Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Ohio","description":"If Ohio is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.21999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":500.0,"volume_24hr":500.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":500.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.245750427246094,"normalized_volume":12.030567169189453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:02:36.937538Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:02:36.937538Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-FL","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-FL","question":"Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Florida","description":"If Florida is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":1333.32,"volume_24hr":1333.32,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":1333.32,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.76891326904297,"normalized_volume":16.120668411254883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-NC","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-NC","question":"Will North Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"North Carolina","description":"If North Carolina is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.060000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.5073667168617249,"normalized_volume":0.3757234513759613,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-GA","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-GA","question":"Will Georgia be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Georgia","description":"If Georgia is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:18:07.777759Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:18:07.777759Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-IA","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-IA","question":"Will Iowa be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Iowa","description":"If Iowa is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-KS","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-KS","question":"Will Kansas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Kansas","description":"If Kansas is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:02:36.937538Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:02:36.937538Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-LA","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-LA","question":"Will Louisiana be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Louisiana","description":"If Louisiana is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:18:07.777759Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:18:07.777759Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-MI","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-MI","question":"Will Michigan be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Michigan","description":"If Michigan is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-MN","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-MN","question":"Will Minnesota be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Minnesota","description":"If Minnesota is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:18:07.777759Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:18:07.777759Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-MS","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-MS","question":"Will Mississippi be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Mississippi","description":"If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-MT","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-MT","question":"Will Montana be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Montana","description":"If Montana is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-NH","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-NH","question":"Will New Hampshire be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"New Hampshire","description":"If New Hampshire is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:18:07.777759Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:18:07.777759Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-SC","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-SC","question":"Will South Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"South Carolina","description":"If South Carolina is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:33:07.287680Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:33:07.287680Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-VA","event_id":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03-VA","question":"Will Virginia be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Virginia","description":"If Virginia is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party). Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:18:07.777759Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:18:07.777759Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator-in-2026/kxreddestdsen-27jan03","event_title":"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXREDDESTDSEN-27JAN03","as_of":"2026-09-24T03:25:51.722621Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?\" — top market at 1% probability across 16 outcomes","source_url":null}}