{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONLI-27JUL31","ticker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONLI-27JUL31","slug":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONLI-27JUL31","title":"Will Ariana Madix Host Love Island USA Season 9?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5053.2,"volume_24hr":1296.57,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.36756706237793,"normalized_volume":19.681434631347656,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2233.52,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ariana Madix as the official host?","top_outcome_probability":0.85,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":972.6099999999999,"updated_at":"2026-07-13T07:43:36.053548Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T07:43:36.053548Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T19:13:03.441575Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxroleinproductionli/will-ariana-madix-host-love-island-usa-season-9/kxroleinproductionli-27jul31","chart_24h":[323.96,325.19,326.46,420.48,412.18,388.45,389.71,351.14,371.99,394.12,398.63,278.9,349.14,342.75,744.61,844.56,903.67,912.49,967.7,1137.09,1152.37,1155.97,1161.17,1235.24,1268.05,1296.57],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONLI-27JUL31-ARI","event_id":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONLI-27JUL31","slug":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONLI-27JUL31-ARI","question":"Will Ariana Madix perform as the official host in Love Island USA Season 9?","group_item_title":"Ariana Madix as the official host?","description":"If Ariana Madix performs as the official host in Love Island USA Season 9, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, Ariana Madix satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:\n\nOfficial Announcement:\nAriana Madix is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform the official host in Love Island USA Season 9, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR\n\nActual Performance:\nAriana Madix appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as the official host in any official performance, showing, or release of Love Island USA Season 9.\n\nAdditional clarification(s):\n\nIf Love Island USA Season 9 is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Ariana Madix was officially announced in the official host, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”\n\nIf multiple people are announced for the official host (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Ariana Madix is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b\n\nThe Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if:\n(a) Love Island USA Season 9 is cancelled or completes its run without Ariana Madix being announced or performing in the official host, or\n(b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for the official host.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Love Island or peacock. Any references to Love Island or peacock, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Love Island or peacock and Kalshi.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15000000000000002],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-07T14:00:00Z","volume":5053.2,"volume_24hr":1296.57,"prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":972.6099999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.788312911987305,"normalized_volume":20.397199630737305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T09:03:53.193636Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T07:43:36.277993Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T19:13:03.705485Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxroleinproductionli/will-ariana-madix-host-love-island-usa-season-9/kxroleinproductionli-27jul31","event_title":"Will Ariana Madix Host Love Island USA Season 9?","chart_24h":[0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXROLEINPRODUCTIONLI-27JUL31","as_of":"2026-07-13T09:05:30.799604Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Ariana Madix Host Love Island USA Season 9?\" — top market at 85% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}