{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT","as_of":"2026-10-24T07:35:25.357841Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?\" — 7 markets; highest \"Before Jan 1, 2029\" at 96% as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrubioannounceout/marco-rubio-announces-departure-as-secretary-of-state/kxrubioannounceout-26oct"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT","ticker":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT","title":"Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-16T16:08:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":247.0,"volume_24hr":247.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.151815414428711,"normalized_volume":8.142312049865723,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":247.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2029","top_outcome_probability":0.96,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T11:25:41.396340Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T11:25:41.396340Z","added_at":"2026-10-16T16:22:26.574301Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrubioannounceout/marco-rubio-announces-departure-as-secretary-of-state/kxrubioannounceout-26oct","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-29JAN01","event_id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-29JAN01","question":"Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2029?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2029","description":"If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nLeaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.040000000000000036],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-16T16:08:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.467447519302368,"normalized_volume":2.8854777812957764,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","added_at":"2026-10-16T16:22:27.098040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrubioannounceout/marco-rubio-announces-departure-as-secretary-of-state/kxrubioannounceout-26oct","event_title":"Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?","chart_24h":[0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-27JUL01","event_id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-27JUL01","question":"Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nLeaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.08000000000000007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-16T16:08:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.783091068267822,"normalized_volume":4.812468528747559,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","added_at":"2026-10-16T16:22:27.098040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrubioannounceout/marco-rubio-announces-departure-as-secretary-of-state/kxrubioannounceout-26oct","event_title":"Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?","chart_24h":[0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-27APR01","event_id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-27APR01","question":"Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Apr 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Apr 1, 2027","description":"If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nLeaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-16T16:08:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.967785358428955,"normalized_volume":6.63048791885376,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","added_at":"2026-10-16T16:22:27.098040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrubioannounceout/marco-rubio-announces-departure-as-secretary-of-state/kxrubioannounceout-26oct","event_title":"Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?","chart_24h":[0.37,0.37,0.37]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-27JAN01","event_id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-27JAN01","question":"Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nLeaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-16T16:08:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":77.0,"volume_24hr":77.0,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":77.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.100494384765625,"normalized_volume":5.908761501312256,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","added_at":"2026-10-16T16:22:27.098040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrubioannounceout/marco-rubio-announces-departure-as-secretary-of-state/kxrubioannounceout-26oct","event_title":"Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-27OCT01","event_id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-27OCT01","question":"Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Oct 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2027","description":"If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nLeaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-16T16:08:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-01T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","added_at":"2026-10-16T16:22:27.098040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrubioannounceout/marco-rubio-announces-departure-as-secretary-of-state/kxrubioannounceout-26oct","event_title":"Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-28JAN01","event_id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-28JAN01","question":"Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nLeaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-16T16:08:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","added_at":"2026-10-16T16:22:27.098040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrubioannounceout/marco-rubio-announces-departure-as-secretary-of-state/kxrubioannounceout-26oct","event_title":"Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-28JUL01","event_id":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXRUBIOANNOUNCEOUT-26OCT-28JUL01","question":"Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jul 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2028","description":"If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nLeaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-16T16:08:00Z","end_date":"2028-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-07-01T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:15:16.462222Z","added_at":"2026-10-16T16:22:27.098040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrubioannounceout/marco-rubio-announces-departure-as-secretary-of-state/kxrubioannounceout-26oct","event_title":"Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}