{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSAHM-27JAN08","ticker":"KXSAHM-27JAN08","slug":"KXSAHM-27JAN08","title":"Will the Sahm Rule trigger in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-15T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1521.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.473762512207031,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":844.01,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.14,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-20T23:59:48.956757Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T23:59:48.956757Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T00:02:17.024415Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsahm/will-the-sahm-rule-trigger-in-2026/kxsahm-27jan08","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSAHM-27JAN08-T0.50","event_id":"KXSAHM-27JAN08","slug":"KXSAHM-27JAN08-T0.50","question":"Will the Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator trigger in 2026?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If the real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator for any monthly observation from Issuance through December 2026 is At least 0.50ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying is the first published value for the applicable monthly observation in FRED series SAHMREALTIME. Revisions to previously published values will not be considered. The market does not depend on whether the National Bureau of Economic Research declares a recession. A value exactly equal to 0.50 qualifies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-15T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-08T13:29:00Z","volume":1521.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.708645820617676,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:55:40.506278Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:49:56.362185Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T00:02:17.078282Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsahm/will-the-sahm-rule-trigger-in-2026/kxsahm-27jan08","event_title":"Will the Sahm Rule trigger in 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSAHM-27JAN08","as_of":"2026-06-22T12:46:28.685578Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the Sahm Rule trigger in 2026?\" — top market at 14% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}