{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JAN01","ticker":"KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JAN01","slug":"KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JAN01","title":"Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27057.68,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.621257781982422,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":9673.47,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.62,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-15T20:15:23.151359Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T20:15:23.151359Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsanctionrussia/will-a-russian-sanctions-bill-become-law/kxsanctionrussia-26jan01","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JAN01-27","event_id":"KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JAN01","slug":"KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JAN01-27","question":"Will a Russian sanctions bill become law before 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: \n(i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors\n(ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion\n(iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or\n(iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions. \n\nRoutine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":18303.56,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.988285064697266,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T00:35:46.234759Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T00:35:46.234759Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsanctionrussia/will-a-russian-sanctions-bill-become-law/kxsanctionrussia-26jan01","event_title":"Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?","chart_24h":[0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JUL-NOV","event_id":"KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JAN01","slug":"KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JUL-NOV","question":"Will legislation that specifically targets Russia by (i) mandating or authorizing primary sanctions on Russia or key Russian sectors, (ii) imposing secondary penalties on foreign enablers or purchasers of Russian exports, and/or (iii) enabling the seizure and transfer of frozen Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine become law before Nov 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Nov 1, 2026","description":"If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: \n(i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors\n(ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion\n(iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or\n(iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions. \n\nRoutine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-01T15:00:00Z","volume":4051.95,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.482694625854492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T00:35:46.234759Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T00:35:46.234759Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:25:31.295844Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsanctionrussia/will-a-russian-sanctions-bill-become-law/kxsanctionrussia-26jan01","event_title":"Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?","chart_24h":[0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JUL","event_id":"KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JAN01","slug":"KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JUL","question":"Will legislation that specifically targets Russia by (i) mandating or authorizing primary sanctions on Russia or key Russian sectors, (ii) imposing secondary penalties on foreign enablers or purchasers of Russian exports, and/or (iii) enabling the seizure and transfer of frozen Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine become law before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: \n(i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors\n(ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion\n(iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or\n(iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions. \n\nRoutine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":4702.17,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.25914764404297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T08:28:03.871183Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T08:28:03.871183Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:25:31.295844Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsanctionrussia/will-a-russian-sanctions-bill-become-law/kxsanctionrussia-26jan01","event_title":"Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSANCTIONRUSSIA-26JAN01","as_of":"2026-08-25T04:46:04.403337Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?\" — top market at 62% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}