{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","ticker":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","slug":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","title":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-18T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":216866.71,"volume_24hr":1040.81,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.96104621887207,"normalized_volume":41.05552291870117,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":77287.9,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.06,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1533.0900000000001,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:55:29.268716Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:55:29.268716Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsatoshibtcyear/will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-by-2027/kxsatoshibtcyear-27","chart_24h":[2573.9,1969.84,2009.85,1374.74,1380.12,1466.83,1406.4,1420.25,1408.51,1411.08,1412.0,1450.26,1388.68,1388.43,1396.44,1369.6,1368.56,1387.31,1369.29,1370.57,1376.44,1382.94,1351.67,1242.22,1132.77,1132.77,893.16,881.58,1000.19,1043.78],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","event_id":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","slug":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","question":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-18T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","volume":216866.71,"volume_24hr":1040.81,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1533.0900000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.823389053344727,"normalized_volume":46.997432708740234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:55:29.437681Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:55:29.437681Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsatoshibtcyear/will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-by-2027/kxsatoshibtcyear-27","event_title":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","as_of":"2026-09-09T00:01:14.362609Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}