{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","ticker":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","slug":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","title":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-18T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":168219.28,"volume_24hr":9.37,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.930863618850708,"normalized_volume":32.3546028137207,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":50919.1,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.04,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":8.37,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T08:58:44.592739Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T08:58:44.592739Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsatoshibtcyear/will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-by-2027/kxsatoshibtcyear-27","chart_24h":[0.0,9.37],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","event_id":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","slug":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","question":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-18T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","volume":168219.28,"volume_24hr":9.37,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":8.37,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.0901238918304443,"normalized_volume":37.6821174621582,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:00:11.840319Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T08:58:44.695290Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsatoshibtcyear/will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-by-2027/kxsatoshibtcyear-27","event_title":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","as_of":"2026-07-25T13:10:37.693079Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?\" — top market at 4% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}