{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN","as_of":"2026-10-24T08:32:04.429415Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?\" — 84% as of 2026-10-19 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotusar15/will-scotus-recognize-a-right-to-possess-ar-15-style-rifles/kxscotusar15-30jan"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN","ticker":"KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN","slug":"KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN","title":"Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T21:45:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5872.92,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.173036575317383,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1657.93,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2030","top_outcome_probability":0.84,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-19T21:12:06.380904Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T21:12:06.380904Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T21:53:29.665471Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotusar15/will-scotus-recognize-a-right-to-possess-ar-15-style-rifles/kxscotusar15-30jan","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN","event_id":"KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN","slug":"KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN","question":"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Cutberto Viramontes, Eddie Grant Jr., other individual plaintiffs in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2030","description":"If the Supreme Court, in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins, rules the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee a right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision holding that the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee the right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, after Issuance and before January 1, 2030. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that those Amendments do not guarantee such a right. A decision recognizing the right and remanding for further proceedings resolves to Yes; if the cases are dismissed, found improvidently granted, or remanded without deciding whether the asserted constitutional right exists, the market resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T21:45:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":5872.92,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.444795608520508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:15:45.882357Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:15:45.882357Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T21:53:29.854918Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotusar15/will-scotus-recognize-a-right-to-possess-ar-15-style-rifles/kxscotusar15-30jan","event_title":"Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?","chart_24h":[0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84]}]}