{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28","as_of":"2026-10-24T07:39:29.712013Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?\" — 83% as of 2026-10-08 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotuscase/will-scotus-allow-religious-chilling-effect-claims-without-a-final-land-use-decision/kxscotuscase-gracit28"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28","ticker":"KXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28","slug":"KXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28","title":"Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":831.27,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.110997200012207,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.31,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Aug 1, 2028","top_outcome_probability":0.83,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-08T12:41:26.585377Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T12:41:26.585377Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T00:11:25.686849Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotuscase/will-scotus-allow-religious-chilling-effect-claims-without-a-final-land-use-decision/kxscotuscase-gracit28","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28","event_id":"KXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28","slug":"KXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28","question":"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Daniel Grand in Grand v. City of University Heights","group_item_title":"Before Aug 1, 2028","description":"If the Supreme Court, in Grand v. City of University Heights, rules the land-use finality requirement does not displace a First Amendment chilling-effect claim based on credible government threats that deter religious exercise, worship, or assembly, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that Williamson County’s land-use finality requirement does not displace the First Amendment’s chilling-effect doctrine when a plaintiff alleges that credible government threats before and after a Planning Commission meeting chilled religious exercise, worship, or assembly, such that the claim is not barred solely because the plaintiff lacked a final land-use decision, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that the finality requirement displaces or bars such a claim, or if the case is dismissed, dismissed as improvidently granted, or remanded without resolving that merits question.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.17000000000000004],"probability":0.83,"spread":0.10000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-08-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":831.27,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.075216293334961,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T23:51:52.166245Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T23:51:52.166245Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T00:11:25.908998Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotuscase/will-scotus-allow-religious-chilling-effect-claims-without-a-final-land-use-decision/kxscotuscase-gracit28","event_title":"Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?","chart_24h":[0.83,0.83]}]}