{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCOTUSCASE-MAXTHO28","ticker":"KXSCOTUSCASE-MAXTHO28","slug":"KXSCOTUSCASE-MAXTHO28","title":"Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.284624099731445,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":200.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Aug 1, 2028","top_outcome_probability":0.55,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-200.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T02:46:05.626494Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T02:46:05.626494Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T00:11:25.686849Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotuscase/will-scotus-allow-first-step-act-halfway-house-claims-under-2241/kxscotuscase-maxtho28","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCOTUSCASE-MAXTHO28","event_id":"KXSCOTUSCASE-MAXTHO28","slug":"KXSCOTUSCASE-MAXTHO28","question":"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of William Maxwell in Maxwell v. Thomas","group_item_title":"Before Aug 1, 2028","description":"If the Supreme Court, in Maxwell v. Thomas, rules a claim concerning the application of First Step Act time credits seeking accelerated transfer to a halfway house or home confinement may be brought through a habeas petition under 28 U.S.C. § 2241, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that a claim regarding the application of time credits under the First Step Act of 2018, seeking accelerated transfer to a halfway house or home confinement, can be brought in a habeas petition under 28 U.S.C. § 2241 after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court rules that such a claim cannot be brought under § 2241, dismisses the case or certiorari as improvidently granted, or remands or otherwise disposes of the case without resolving that question on the merits.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-08-01T14:00:00Z","volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.319451332092285,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T23:01:01.641464Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T23:01:01.641464Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T00:11:25.908998Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotuscase/will-scotus-allow-first-step-act-halfway-house-claims-under-2241/kxscotuscase-maxtho28","event_title":"Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?","chart_24h":[0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSCOTUSCASE-MAXTHO28","as_of":"2026-07-25T23:58:52.220058Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?\" — top market at 55% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}