{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCOTUSCASE-WASBLA28","ticker":"KXSCOTUSCASE-WASBLA28","slug":"KXSCOTUSCASE-WASBLA28","title":"Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Aug 1, 2028","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T00:11:25.686849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T00:11:25.686849Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T00:11:25.686849Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotuscase/will-scotus-let-people-seek-green-cards-after-their-asylum-is-terminated/kxscotuscase-wasbla28","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCOTUSCASE-WASBLA28","event_id":"KXSCOTUSCASE-WASBLA28","slug":"KXSCOTUSCASE-WASBLA28","question":"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Tamer S. Wassily in Wassily v. Blanche","group_item_title":"Before Aug 1, 2028","description":"If the Supreme Court, in Wassily v. Blanche, rules termination of a noncitizen’s asylum does not categorically bar that person from seeking adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that noncitizens who were granted asylum, but whose asylum was later terminated, are not categorically ineligible for adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that such noncitizens are categorically ineligible. If the Court dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, dismisses the case, remands without resolving this question, or otherwise disposes of the case without a merits ruling on this issue, the market resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-08-01T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:47:45.746967Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:47:45.746967Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T00:11:25.908998Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotuscase/will-scotus-let-people-seek-green-cards-after-their-asylum-is-terminated/kxscotuscase-wasbla28","event_title":"Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSCOTUSCASE-WASBLA28","as_of":"2026-07-25T22:57:18.210503Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?\" — top market at 0% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}