{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSCOTUSCERT3RD-29JAN","as_of":"2026-10-24T09:20:49.940182Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?\" — 11% as of 2026-10-12 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSCOTUSCERT3RD-29JAN","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotuscert3rd/will-the-supreme-court-hear-a-3rd-amendment-case-before-trumps-term-ends/kxscotuscert3rd-29jan"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCOTUSCERT3RD-29JAN","ticker":"KXSCOTUSCERT3RD-29JAN","slug":"KXSCOTUSCERT3RD-29JAN","title":"Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-18T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9054.92,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.235807418823242,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4482.36,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"any 3rd Amendment case","top_outcome_probability":0.11,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-12T22:12:29.412860Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T22:12:29.412860Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotuscert3rd/will-the-supreme-court-hear-a-3rd-amendment-case-before-trumps-term-ends/kxscotuscert3rd-29jan","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCOTUSCERT3RD-29JAN-3RD","event_id":"KXSCOTUSCERT3RD-29JAN","slug":"KXSCOTUSCERT3RD-29JAN-3RD","question":"What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029?","group_item_title":"any 3rd Amendment case","description":"If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to any 3rd Amendment case before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe case must meet the following requirements: (1) The petition for certiorari explicitly raises a claim or question under the Third Amendment to the United States Constitution as a question presented; OR (2) The lower court decision being appealed explicitly addressed a Third Amendment claim on the merits; OR (3) The Supreme Court's order granting certiorari explicitly identifies a Third Amendment issue as a question for review. For the avoidance of doubt:  A case where the Third Amendment is mentioned only in passing, in dicta, or as part of a general constitutional analysis without being a distinct claim SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion A case where the Third Amendment is raised only in amicus briefs but not by the parties SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: the Court grants cert in a case where a homeowner challenges military housing requirements under the Third Amendment; the Court grants cert in a case where the question presented is \"Whether police officers qualify as 'soldiers' under the Third Amendment”; the Court grants cert where a lower court ruled on the scope of Third Amendment protections and that ruling is being appealed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.044000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-18T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":9054.92,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.84211540222168,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T08:06:42.697368Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T08:06:42.697368Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscotuscert3rd/will-the-supreme-court-hear-a-3rd-amendment-case-before-trumps-term-ends/kxscotuscert3rd-29jan","event_title":"Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?","chart_24h":null}]}