{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","ticker":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","slug":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","title":"Who will run for South Carolina Senate?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9622.51,"volume_24hr":9622.51,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.674535751342773,"normalized_volume":22.76615333557129,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":7937.79,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Russell Fry","top_outcome_probability":0.88,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.88,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":92.69,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:47:02.008745Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T01:47:02.008745Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T15:37:25.011146Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscrsensrun/who-will-run-for-south-carolina-senate/kxscrsensrun-26","chart_24h":[0.0,57.27,720.37,805.77,1092.32,3548.52,5259.53,5269.53,5708.25,8886.73,8931.73,9120.41,9622.51],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-MLYN","event_id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","slug":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-MLYN","question":"Will Mark Lynch announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026?","group_item_title":"Mark Lynch","description":"If Mark Lynch has announced that they will run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026 before Aug 11, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-13T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T21:15:56Z","volume":3301.7,"volume_24hr":3301.7,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":3301.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.25849723815918,"normalized_volume":18.41265106201172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T21:49:36.072559Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T21:49:36.072559Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T15:37:26.586964Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscrsensrun/who-will-run-for-south-carolina-senate/kxscrsensrun-26","event_title":"Who will run for South Carolina Senate?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.63,0.81,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-RFRY","event_id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","slug":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-RFRY","question":"Will Russell Fry announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026?","group_item_title":"Russell Fry","description":"If Russell Fry has announced that they will run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026 before Aug 11, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":92.69,"volume_24hr":92.69,"prob_24h_change":0.88,"volume_24h_change":92.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.558040618896484,"normalized_volume":5.780811309814453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T00:37:32.837327Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T00:35:32.639171Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T15:37:26.586964Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscrsensrun/who-will-run-for-south-carolina-senate/kxscrsensrun-26","event_title":"Who will run for South Carolina Senate?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.87,0.88]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-RNOR","event_id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","slug":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-RNOR","question":"Will Ralph Norman announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026?","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman","description":"If Ralph Norman has announced that they will run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026 before Aug 11, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15000000000000002],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":3683.9,"volume_24hr":3683.9,"prob_24h_change":0.85,"volume_24h_change":3683.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.00025749206543,"normalized_volume":18.913698196411133,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:47:02.463561Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T01:47:02.463561Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T15:37:26.586964Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscrsensrun/who-will-run-for-south-carolina-senate/kxscrsensrun-26","event_title":"Who will run for South Carolina Senate?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.78,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-NMAC","event_id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","slug":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-NMAC","question":"Will Nancy Mace announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026?","group_item_title":"Nancy Mace","description":"If Nancy Mace has announced that they will run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026 before Aug 11, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":708.78,"volume_24hr":708.78,"prob_24h_change":0.64,"volume_24h_change":708.78,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.894840240478516,"normalized_volume":12.08765983581543,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:48:49.632808Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T01:47:02.463561Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T15:37:26.586964Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscrsensrun/who-will-run-for-south-carolina-senate/kxscrsensrun-26","event_title":"Who will run for South Carolina Senate?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-PEVE","event_id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","slug":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-PEVE","question":"Will Pamela Evette announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026?","group_item_title":"Pamela Evette","description":"If Pamela Evette has announced that they will run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026 before Aug 11, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":67.91,"volume_24hr":67.91,"prob_24h_change":0.23,"volume_24h_change":67.91,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.439094066619873,"normalized_volume":5.024981498718262,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T00:37:32.837327Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T00:35:32.639171Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T15:37:26.586964Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscrsensrun/who-will-run-for-south-carolina-senate/kxscrsensrun-26","event_title":"Who will run for South Carolina Senate?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-DNOR","event_id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","slug":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-DNOR","question":"Will Darline Graham Nordone announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham Nordone","description":"If Darline Graham Nordone has announced that they will run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026 before Aug 11, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":58.86,"volume_24hr":58.86,"prob_24h_change":0.17,"volume_24h_change":58.86,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.952441692352295,"normalized_volume":4.696256160736084,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T21:02:58.108429Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T21:02:58.108429Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T15:37:26.586964Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscrsensrun/who-will-run-for-south-carolina-senate/kxscrsensrun-26","event_title":"Who will run for South Carolina Senate?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-SBES","event_id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","slug":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-SBES","question":"Will Scott Bessent announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026?","group_item_title":"Scott Bessent","description":"If Scott Bessent has announced that they will run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026 before Aug 11, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":1028.61,"volume_24hr":1028.61,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":1028.61,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.980188369750977,"normalized_volume":13.496277809143066,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:48:49.632808Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T01:47:02.463561Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T15:37:26.586964Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscrsensrun/who-will-run-for-south-carolina-senate/kxscrsensrun-26","event_title":"Who will run for South Carolina Senate?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-NHAL","event_id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","slug":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-NHAL","question":"Will Nikki Haley announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026?","group_item_title":"Nikki Haley","description":"If Nikki Haley has announced that they will run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026 before Aug 11, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":680.06,"volume_24hr":680.06,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":680.06,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.67037010192871,"normalized_volume":11.93603515625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T00:37:32.837327Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T00:35:32.639171Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T15:37:26.586964Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscrsensrun/who-will-run-for-south-carolina-senate/kxscrsensrun-26","event_title":"Who will run for South Carolina Senate?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-HMCM","event_id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","slug":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-HMCM","question":"Will Henry McMaster announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026?","group_item_title":"Henry McMaster","description":"If Henry McMaster has announced that they will run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026 before Aug 11, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T16:20:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T23:23:50.675232Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T23:23:50.675232Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T16:21:54.126343Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscrsensrun/who-will-run-for-south-carolina-senate/kxscrsensrun-26","event_title":"Who will run for South Carolina Senate?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-TGOW","event_id":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26","slug":"KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-TGOW","question":"Will Trey Gowdy announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026?","group_item_title":"Trey Gowdy","description":"If Trey Gowdy has announced that they will run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026 before Aug 11, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T21:19:12.971549Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T21:19:12.971549Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T15:37:26.586964Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxscrsensrun/who-will-run-for-south-carolina-senate/kxscrsensrun-26","event_title":"Who will run for South Carolina Senate?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSCRSENSRUN-26","as_of":"2026-07-14T01:54:40.428114Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will run for South Carolina Senate?\" — top market at 85% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}