{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","ticker":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","slug":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":81.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.112807273864746,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":81.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"GOVSDNOMR26R","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Larry Rhoden, ≥12%","top_outcome_probability":0.21,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T13:44:05.379416Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T13:44:05.379416Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:43:11.279378Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsdrgovrunoffmov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxsdrgovrunoffmov-govsdnomr26r","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P56","event_id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","slug":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P56","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be above 12%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, ≥12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Larry Rhoden wins, or the electoral votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Larry Rhoden does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Larry Rhoden will be summed.\n\nIf Larry Rhoden wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Larry Rhoden loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Larry Rhoden is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4797874689102173,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T02:14:11.626646Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:43:11.507705Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsdrgovrunoffmov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxsdrgovrunoffmov-govsdnomr26r","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P1","event_id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","slug":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Larry Rhoden wins, or the electoral votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Larry Rhoden does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Larry Rhoden will be summed.\n\nIf Larry Rhoden wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Larry Rhoden loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Larry Rhoden is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4797874689102173,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:50:29.321543Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T02:01:02.822446Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:43:11.507705Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsdrgovrunoffmov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxsdrgovrunoffmov-govsdnomr26r","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P1","event_id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","slug":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Toby Doeden, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Toby Doeden minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Toby Doeden minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Toby Doeden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Toby Doeden wins, or the electoral votes received by Toby Doeden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Toby Doeden does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Toby Doeden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Toby Doeden will be summed.\n\nIf Toby Doeden wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Toby Doeden loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Toby Doeden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Toby Doeden is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4797874689102173,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:11:16.425944Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T04:25:08.890884Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:43:11.507705Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsdrgovrunoffmov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxsdrgovrunoffmov-govsdnomr26r","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P56","event_id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","slug":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P56","question":"Will the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be above 12%?","group_item_title":"Toby Doeden, ≥12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Toby Doeden minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Toby Doeden minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Toby Doeden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Toby Doeden wins, or the electoral votes received by Toby Doeden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Toby Doeden does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Toby Doeden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Toby Doeden will be summed.\n\nIf Toby Doeden wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Toby Doeden loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Toby Doeden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Toby Doeden is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.13000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4797874689102173,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:50:29.321543Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T02:28:30.796181Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:43:11.507705Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsdrgovrunoffmov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxsdrgovrunoffmov-govsdnomr26r","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P10","event_id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","slug":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Larry Rhoden wins, or the electoral votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Larry Rhoden does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Larry Rhoden will be summed.\n\nIf Larry Rhoden wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Larry Rhoden loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Larry Rhoden is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4797874689102173,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:12:10.492220Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T16:18:56.674583Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:43:11.507705Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsdrgovrunoffmov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxsdrgovrunoffmov-govsdnomr26r","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P4","event_id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","slug":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Larry Rhoden wins, or the electoral votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Larry Rhoden does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Larry Rhoden will be summed.\n\nIf Larry Rhoden wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Larry Rhoden loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Larry Rhoden is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4797874689102173,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:12:10.492220Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T22:53:05.631476Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:43:11.507705Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsdrgovrunoffmov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxsdrgovrunoffmov-govsdnomr26r","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P10","event_id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","slug":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Toby Doeden, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Toby Doeden minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Toby Doeden minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Toby Doeden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Toby Doeden wins, or the electoral votes received by Toby Doeden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Toby Doeden does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Toby Doeden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Toby Doeden will be summed.\n\nIf Toby Doeden wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Toby Doeden loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Toby Doeden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Toby Doeden is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4797874689102173,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:12:10.492220Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T02:14:11.626646Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:43:11.507705Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsdrgovrunoffmov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxsdrgovrunoffmov-govsdnomr26r","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P7","event_id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","slug":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Toby Doeden, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Toby Doeden minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Toby Doeden minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Toby Doeden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Toby Doeden wins, or the electoral votes received by Toby Doeden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Toby Doeden does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Toby Doeden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Toby Doeden will be summed.\n\nIf Toby Doeden wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Toby Doeden loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Toby Doeden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Toby Doeden is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":9.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.6251065731048584,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:50:29.321543Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T23:19:54.647029Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:43:11.507705Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsdrgovrunoffmov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxsdrgovrunoffmov-govsdnomr26r","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P7","event_id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","slug":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Larry Rhoden wins, or the electoral votes received by Larry Rhoden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Larry Rhoden does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Larry Rhoden will be summed.\n\nIf Larry Rhoden wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Larry Rhoden loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Larry Rhoden is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4797874689102173,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:05.743940Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T04:25:08.890884Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:43:11.507705Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsdrgovrunoffmov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxsdrgovrunoffmov-govsdnomr26r","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P4","event_id":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","slug":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Toby Doeden, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Toby Doeden minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Toby Doeden minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Toby Doeden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Toby Doeden wins, or the electoral votes received by Toby Doeden minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Toby Doeden does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Toby Doeden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Toby Doeden will be summed.\n\nIf Toby Doeden wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Toby Doeden loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Toby Doeden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Toby Doeden is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4797874689102173,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:03:35.145799Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T13:44:06.634118Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T19:43:11.507705Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsdrgovrunoffmov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxsdrgovrunoffmov-govsdnomr26r","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:16:11.286230Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?\" — top market at 21% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}