{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26","as_of":"2026-10-09T22:53:52.741092Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?\" — 7 markets; highest \"Chuck Schumer\" at 97% as of 2026-10-09 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsendemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxsendemleadrun-26"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26","ticker":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26","title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3200.0,"volume_24hr":3200.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.913768768310547,"normalized_volume":17.53767967224121,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2800.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Chuck Schumer","top_outcome_probability":0.97,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.97,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3200.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-09T20:55:39.121504Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T20:55:39.121504Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.286254Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsendemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxsendemleadrun-26","chart_24h":[0.0,2800.0,3200.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-CSCH","event_id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-CSCH","question":"Will Chuck Schumer announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Chuck Schumer","description":"If Chuck Schumer has announced that they will run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Democratic leader means the top post the Senate Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Democrats win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":3200.0,"volume_24hr":3200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":3200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.802583694458008,"normalized_volume":20.279516220092773,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T22:21:32.320273Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T22:21:32.320273Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsendemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxsendemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.84,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-BSCH","event_id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-BSCH","question":"Will Brian Schatz announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Brian Schatz","description":"If Brian Schatz has announced that they will run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Democratic leader means the top post the Senate Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Democrats win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T21:52:39.154449Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T21:52:39.154449Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsendemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxsendemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-CBOO","event_id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-CBOO","question":"Will Cory Booker announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Cory Booker","description":"If Cory Booker has announced that they will run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Democratic leader means the top post the Senate Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Democrats win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T07:05:55.346845Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T07:05:55.346845Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsendemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxsendemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-CCOR","event_id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-CCOR","question":"Will Catherine Cortez Masto announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Catherine Cortez Masto","description":"If Catherine Cortez Masto has announced that they will run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Democratic leader means the top post the Senate Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Democrats win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T22:50:10.844631Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T22:50:10.844631Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsendemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxsendemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-CMUR","event_id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-CMUR","question":"Will Chris Murphy announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Chris Murphy","description":"If Chris Murphy has announced that they will run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Democratic leader means the top post the Senate Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Democrats win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T06:37:54.292946Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T06:37:54.292946Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsendemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxsendemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-CVAN","event_id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-CVAN","question":"Will Chris Van Hollen announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Chris Van Hollen","description":"If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Democratic leader means the top post the Senate Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Democrats win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T07:05:55.346845Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T07:05:55.346845Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsendemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxsendemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-EWAR","event_id":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-EWAR","question":"Will Elizabeth Warren announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Elizabeth Warren","description":"If Elizabeth Warren has announced that they will run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Democratic leader means the top post the Senate Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Democrats win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T21:09:39.289652Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T21:09:39.289652Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsendemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxsendemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}