{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26","as_of":"2026-10-10T04:28:30.351841Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?\" — 7 markets; highest \"Rick Scott\" at 50% as of 2026-10-10 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsengopleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-republican-leader/kxsengopleadrun-26"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26","ticker":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26","title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1256.0,"volume_24hr":1256.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.886579513549805,"normalized_volume":13.709259986877441,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1256.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Rick Scott","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.5,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1256.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-10T00:56:58.962921Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T00:56:58.962921Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.286254Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsengopleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-republican-leader/kxsengopleadrun-26","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-RSCO","event_id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-RSCO","question":"Will Rick Scott announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Rick Scott","description":"If Rick Scott has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Republican leader means the top post the Senate Republican Conference elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Republicans win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1256.0,"volume_24hr":1256.0,"prob_24h_change":0.5,"volume_24h_change":1256.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.436004638671875,"normalized_volume":15.854330062866211,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T04:23:39.685990Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T04:23:39.685990Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsengopleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-republican-leader/kxsengopleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-JBAR","event_id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-JBAR","question":"Will John Barrasso announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"John Barrasso","description":"If John Barrasso has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Republican leader means the top post the Senate Republican Conference elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Republicans win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T00:43:39.418082Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T00:43:39.418082Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsengopleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-republican-leader/kxsengopleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-JHAW","event_id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-JHAW","question":"Will Josh Hawley announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Josh Hawley","description":"If Josh Hawley has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Republican leader means the top post the Senate Republican Conference elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Republicans win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T12:15:47.582751Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T12:15:47.582751Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsengopleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-republican-leader/kxsengopleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-JTHU","event_id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-JTHU","question":"Will John Thune announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"John Thune","description":"If John Thune has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Republican leader means the top post the Senate Republican Conference elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Republicans win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T18:59:16.469048Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T18:59:16.469048Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsengopleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-republican-leader/kxsengopleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-MLEE","event_id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-MLEE","question":"Will Mike Lee announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Mike Lee","description":"If Mike Lee has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Republican leader means the top post the Senate Republican Conference elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Republicans win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T12:15:47.582751Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T12:15:47.582751Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsengopleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-republican-leader/kxsengopleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-RJOH","event_id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-RJOH","question":"Will Ron Johnson announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Ron Johnson","description":"If Ron Johnson has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Republican leader means the top post the Senate Republican Conference elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Republicans win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T12:15:47.582751Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T12:15:47.582751Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsengopleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-republican-leader/kxsengopleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-TCOT","event_id":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXSENGOPLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-TCOT","question":"Will Tom Cotton announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Tom Cotton","description":"If Tom Cotton has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nSenate Republican leader means the top post the Senate Republican Conference elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Republicans win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T06:37:54.292946Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T06:37:54.292946Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsengopleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-senate-republican-leader/kxsengopleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?","chart_24h":null}]}