{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07","ticker":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07","slug":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07","title":"Sephora Credit Card Spend in October","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1743.46,"volume_24hr":1743.46,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.176483154296875,"normalized_volume":15.02769947052002,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":986.87,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 99","top_outcome_probability":0.84,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.84,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":89.28,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T09:42:30.541246Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T09:42:30.541246Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.113489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsephoracc/sephora-credit-card-spend-in-october/kxsephoracc-26nov07","chart_24h":[197.22,293.37,398.37,565.13,879.81,1094.81,1265.26,1265.26,1576.7,1743.46],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T99","event_id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07","slug":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T99","question":"Will Sephora Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 99 ?","group_item_title":"Above 99","description":"If the Carbon Arc Sephora Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 99 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Sephora Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-07T03:29:00Z","volume":89.28,"volume_24hr":89.28,"prob_24h_change":0.84,"volume_24h_change":89.28,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.68930721282959,"normalized_volume":6.3120012283325195,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T09:42:30.662632Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T09:42:30.662632Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsephoracc/sephora-credit-card-spend-in-october/kxsephoracc-26nov07","event_title":"Sephora Credit Card Spend in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T106","event_id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07","slug":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T106","question":"Will Sephora Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 106 ?","group_item_title":"Above 106","description":"If the Carbon Arc Sephora Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 106 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Sephora Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-07T03:29:00Z","volume":340.9,"volume_24hr":340.9,"prob_24h_change":0.61,"volume_24h_change":340.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.230612754821777,"normalized_volume":10.59715747833252,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T09:56:49.476789Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T09:56:49.476789Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsephoracc/sephora-credit-card-spend-in-october/kxsephoracc-26nov07","event_title":"Sephora Credit Card Spend in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T108","event_id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07","slug":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T108","question":"Will Sephora Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 108 ?","group_item_title":"Above 108","description":"If the Carbon Arc Sephora Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 108 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Sephora Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-07T03:29:00Z","volume":144.23,"volume_24hr":144.23,"prob_24h_change":0.48,"volume_24h_change":144.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.176338195800781,"normalized_volume":7.7151570320129395,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T09:42:30.662632Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T09:42:30.662632Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsephoracc/sephora-credit-card-spend-in-october/kxsephoracc-26nov07","event_title":"Sephora Credit Card Spend in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T114","event_id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07","slug":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T114","question":"Will Sephora Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 114 ?","group_item_title":"Above 114","description":"If the Carbon Arc Sephora Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 114 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Sephora Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-07T03:29:00Z","volume":297.3,"volume_24hr":297.3,"prob_24h_change":0.36,"volume_24h_change":297.3,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.711580276489258,"normalized_volume":10.107400894165039,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T08:30:17.110064Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T08:30:17.110064Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsephoracc/sephora-credit-card-spend-in-october/kxsephoracc-26nov07","event_title":"Sephora Credit Card Spend in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T112","event_id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07","slug":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T112","question":"Will Sephora Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 112 ?","group_item_title":"Above 112","description":"If the Carbon Arc Sephora Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 112 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Sephora Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.6599999999999999],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.20000000000000007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-07T03:29:00Z","volume":661.75,"volume_24hr":661.75,"prob_24h_change":0.34,"volume_24h_change":661.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.923188209533691,"normalized_volume":13.137859344482422,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T09:56:49.476789Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T09:56:49.476789Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsephoracc/sephora-credit-card-spend-in-october/kxsephoracc-26nov07","event_title":"Sephora Credit Card Spend in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T121","event_id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07","slug":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T121","question":"Will Sephora Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 121 ?","group_item_title":"Above 121","description":"If the Carbon Arc Sephora Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 121 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Sephora Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-07T03:29:00Z","volume":210.0,"volume_24hr":210.0,"prob_24h_change":0.27,"volume_24h_change":210.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.449365615844727,"normalized_volume":8.916379928588867,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T08:44:39.966553Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T08:44:39.966553Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsephoracc/sephora-credit-card-spend-in-october/kxsephoracc-26nov07","event_title":"Sephora Credit Card Spend in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.27]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T110","event_id":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07","slug":"KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07-T110","question":"Will Sephora Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 110 ?","group_item_title":"Above 110","description":"If the Carbon Arc Sephora Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 110 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Sephora Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-07T03:29:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T06:35:50.570552Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T06:35:50.570552Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsephoracc/sephora-credit-card-spend-in-october/kxsephoracc-26nov07","event_title":"Sephora Credit Card Spend in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSEPHORACC-26NOV07","as_of":"2026-10-02T10:08:44.008188Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Sephora Credit Card Spend in October\" — top market at 34% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}