{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSERBIAPARLI-26JUN30","ticker":"KXSERBIAPARLI-26JUN30","slug":"KXSERBIAPARLI-26JUN30","title":"Who will win the next Serbian parliamentary election?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":97.0,"volume_24hr":97.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.471525192260742,"normalized_volume":5.031400203704834,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":93.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SNS-led list","top_outcome_probability":0.88,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.88,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":70.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-29T17:52:24.712664Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T17:52:24.712664Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T16:31:40.704931Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxserbiaparli/who-will-win-the-next-serbian-parliamentary-election/kxserbiaparli-26jun30","chart_24h":[0.0,97.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSERBIAPARLI-26JUN30-SNS","event_id":"KXSERBIAPARLI-26JUN30","slug":"KXSERBIAPARLI-26JUN30-SNS","question":"Will SNS-led list win the next Serbian parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"SNS-led list","description":"If SNS-led list wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSNS-led list: Any formally registered electoral list containing the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS).\n\nStudent list: Any formally registered electoral list designated as its national parliamentary electoral list by the university students organizing Serbia’s nationwide university blockades, provided that the list does not contain SNS.\n\nFor parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.\nIf two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO\nIf both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO\nFor coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements\nOverhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified\n\nFor referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).\nIf multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met\n\nFor presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority\nContested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction\nIn cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails\nThe market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first\nRepeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline\nIf results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":70.0,"volume_24hr":70.0,"prob_24h_change":0.88,"volume_24h_change":70.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.972771167755127,"normalized_volume":5.374013900756836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Serbia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T00:59:49.193439Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T00:59:49.193439Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T16:31:40.830587Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxserbiaparli/who-will-win-the-next-serbian-parliamentary-election/kxserbiaparli-26jun30","event_title":"Who will win the next Serbian parliamentary election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSERBIAPARLI-26JUN30-STUD","event_id":"KXSERBIAPARLI-26JUN30","slug":"KXSERBIAPARLI-26JUN30-STUD","question":"Will Student list win the next Serbian parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"Student list","description":"If Student list wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSNS-led list: Any formally registered electoral list containing the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS).\n\nStudent list: Any formally registered electoral list designated as its national parliamentary electoral list by the university students organizing Serbia’s nationwide university blockades, provided that the list does not contain SNS.\n\nFor parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.\nIf two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO\nIf both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO\nFor coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements\nOverhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified\n\nFor referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).\nIf multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met\n\nFor presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority\nContested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction\nIn cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails\nThe market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first\nRepeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline\nIf results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":27.0,"volume_24hr":27.0,"prob_24h_change":0.49,"volume_24h_change":27.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.649839162826538,"normalized_volume":3.2839508056640625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Serbia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T15:46:39.372545Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T15:46:39.372545Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T16:31:40.830587Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxserbiaparli/who-will-win-the-next-serbian-parliamentary-election/kxserbiaparli-26jun30","event_title":"Who will win the next Serbian parliamentary election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSERBIAPARLI-26JUN30","as_of":"2026-06-30T16:38:34.162456Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will win the next Serbian parliamentary election?\" — top market at 88% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}