{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33","ticker":"KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33","slug":"KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33","title":"Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2033-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1049.86,"volume_24hr":6.35,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1539103984832764,"normalized_volume":13.09949016571045,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":329.72,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2033","top_outcome_probability":0.3,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3.28,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:17:38.896695Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:17:38.896695Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T17:10:32.801497Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsocialsecuritydeplete/will-social-securitys-retirement-trust-fund-be-depleted/kxsocialsecuritydeplete-33","chart_24h":[0.0,6.35],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33-33JAN01","event_id":"KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33","slug":"KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33-33JAN01","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2033","description":"If the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law  after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2033-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2033-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1049.86,"volume_24hr":6.35,"prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":3.28,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1984704732894897,"normalized_volume":13.575885772705078,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:19:34.473787Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:17:39.097475Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T17:10:32.981501Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsocialsecuritydeplete/will-social-securitys-retirement-trust-fund-be-depleted/kxsocialsecuritydeplete-33","event_title":"Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.3]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33","as_of":"2026-07-16T05:38:36.663450Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?\" — top market at 30% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}