{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27","ticker":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27","slug":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27","title":"Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1291.01,"volume_24hr":1291.01,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.8008975982666,"normalized_volume":13.980447769165039,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1290.01,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Between 43 and 48.99 million","top_outcome_probability":0.46,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.46,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":782.01,"updated_at":"2026-09-02T02:11:32.588311Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T02:11:32.588311Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T18:03:36.522303Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsockeyerun/bristol-bay-sockeye-run-forecast-for-2027/kxsockeyerun-27","chart_24h":[0.0,507.0,511.0,1291.01],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27-B43P00-48P99","event_id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27","slug":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27-B43P00-48P99","question":"2027 sockeye run forecast: between 43 and 48.99 million fish?","group_item_title":"Between 43 and 48.99 million","description":"If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 43 million and 48.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant figure is the Bristol Bay-wide aggregate point estimate shown in the “Forecast” column on the row labeled “Total run.” The separate “Inshore Run” figure will not be used. The market also will not use the forecast range or prediction interval, escapement, harvestable-surplus figures, individual river or district forecasts, or the actual observed 2027 run.\n\nOnly ADF&G’s initial non-preliminary preseason forecast will be used. In-season estimates, postseason run reconstructions, and revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. If ADF&G provides only a forecast range without a point estimate, the midpoint of that range will be used.\n\nIf ADF&G does not use the label “Total run,” the functionally equivalent Bristol Bay-wide figure, \"projected total catch plus projected total escapement\", will be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.15999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","volume":782.01,"volume_24hr":782.01,"prob_24h_change":0.46,"volume_24h_change":782.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.49081802368164,"normalized_volume":13.820952415466309,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T05:33:36.549355Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T05:33:36.549355Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T18:03:36.657015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsockeyerun/bristol-bay-sockeye-run-forecast-for-2027/kxsockeyerun-27","event_title":"Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27-B49P00-55P00","event_id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27","slug":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27-B49P00-55P00","question":"2027 sockeye run forecast: between 49 and 55 million fish?","group_item_title":"Between 49 and 55 million","description":"If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 49 million and 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant figure is the Bristol Bay-wide aggregate point estimate shown in the “Forecast” column on the row labeled “Total run.” The separate “Inshore Run” figure will not be used. The market also will not use the forecast range or prediction interval, escapement, harvestable-surplus figures, individual river or district forecasts, or the actual observed 2027 run.\n\nOnly ADF&G’s initial non-preliminary preseason forecast will be used. In-season estimates, postseason run reconstructions, and revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. If ADF&G provides only a forecast range without a point estimate, the midpoint of that range will be used.\n\nIf ADF&G does not use the label “Total run,” the functionally equivalent Bristol Bay-wide figure, \"projected total catch plus projected total escapement\", will be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","volume":230.0,"volume_24hr":230.0,"prob_24h_change":0.23,"volume_24h_change":230.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.001891136169434,"normalized_volume":9.220684051513672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:33:51.071312Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:33:51.071312Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T18:03:36.657015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsockeyerun/bristol-bay-sockeye-run-forecast-for-2027/kxsockeyerun-27","event_title":"Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27-T55P00","event_id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27","slug":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27-T55P00","question":"2027 sockeye run forecast: above 55 million fish?","group_item_title":"Above 55 million","description":"If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is above 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant figure is the Bristol Bay-wide aggregate point estimate shown in the “Forecast” column on the row labeled “Total run.” The separate “Inshore Run” figure will not be used. The market also will not use the forecast range or prediction interval, escapement, harvestable-surplus figures, individual river or district forecasts, or the actual observed 2027 run.\n\nOnly ADF&G’s initial non-preliminary preseason forecast will be used. In-season estimates, postseason run reconstructions, and revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. If ADF&G provides only a forecast range without a point estimate, the midpoint of that range will be used.\n\nIf ADF&G does not use the label “Total run,” the functionally equivalent Bristol Bay-wide figure, \"projected total catch plus projected total escapement\", will be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","volume":277.0,"volume_24hr":277.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":277.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.763412475585938,"normalized_volume":9.858914375305176,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:33:51.071312Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:33:51.071312Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T18:03:36.657015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsockeyerun/bristol-bay-sockeye-run-forecast-for-2027/kxsockeyerun-27","event_title":"Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27-L29P00","event_id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27","slug":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27-L29P00","question":"2027 sockeye run forecast: below 29 million fish?","group_item_title":"Below 29 million","description":"If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is below 29 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant figure is the Bristol Bay-wide aggregate point estimate shown in the “Forecast” column on the row labeled “Total run.” The separate “Inshore Run” figure will not be used. The market also will not use the forecast range or prediction interval, escapement, harvestable-surplus figures, individual river or district forecasts, or the actual observed 2027 run.\n\nOnly ADF&G’s initial non-preliminary preseason forecast will be used. In-season estimates, postseason run reconstructions, and revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. If ADF&G provides only a forecast range without a point estimate, the midpoint of that range will be used.\n\nIf ADF&G does not use the label “Total run,” the functionally equivalent Bristol Bay-wide figure, \"projected total catch plus projected total escapement\", will be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":2.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.4483039081096649,"normalized_volume":0.3757234513759613,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T20:25:38.497987Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T20:25:38.497987Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T18:03:36.657015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsockeyerun/bristol-bay-sockeye-run-forecast-for-2027/kxsockeyerun-27","event_title":"Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27-B29P00-36P99","event_id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27","slug":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27-B29P00-36P99","question":"2027 sockeye run forecast: between 29 and 36.99 million fish?","group_item_title":"Between 29 and 36.99 million","description":"If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 29 million and 36.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant figure is the Bristol Bay-wide aggregate point estimate shown in the “Forecast” column on the row labeled “Total run.” The separate “Inshore Run” figure will not be used. The market also will not use the forecast range or prediction interval, escapement, harvestable-surplus figures, individual river or district forecasts, or the actual observed 2027 run.\n\nOnly ADF&G’s initial non-preliminary preseason forecast will be used. In-season estimates, postseason run reconstructions, and revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. If ADF&G provides only a forecast range without a point estimate, the midpoint of that range will be used.\n\nIf ADF&G does not use the label “Total run,” the functionally equivalent Bristol Bay-wide figure, \"projected total catch plus projected total escapement\", will be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T00:09:53.282727Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T00:09:53.282727Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T18:03:36.657015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsockeyerun/bristol-bay-sockeye-run-forecast-for-2027/kxsockeyerun-27","event_title":"Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27-B37P00-42P99","event_id":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27","slug":"KXSOCKEYERUN-27-B37P00-42P99","question":"2027 sockeye run forecast: between 37 and 42.99 million fish?","group_item_title":"Between 37 and 42.99 million","description":"If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 37 million and 42.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant figure is the Bristol Bay-wide aggregate point estimate shown in the “Forecast” column on the row labeled “Total run.” The separate “Inshore Run” figure will not be used. The market also will not use the forecast range or prediction interval, escapement, harvestable-surplus figures, individual river or district forecasts, or the actual observed 2027 run.\n\nOnly ADF&G’s initial non-preliminary preseason forecast will be used. In-season estimates, postseason run reconstructions, and revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. If ADF&G provides only a forecast range without a point estimate, the midpoint of that range will be used.\n\nIf ADF&G does not use the label “Total run,” the functionally equivalent Bristol Bay-wide figure, \"projected total catch plus projected total escapement\", will be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-04T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T01:15:23.165780Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T01:15:23.165780Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T18:03:36.657015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsockeyerun/bristol-bay-sockeye-run-forecast-for-2027/kxsockeyerun-27","event_title":"Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSOCKEYERUN-27","as_of":"2026-09-02T05:51:56.557942Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027\" — top market at 46% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}