{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","ticker":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1359.42,"volume_24hr":1359.42,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.400777816772461,"normalized_volume":13.074326515197754,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1124.8,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 0.25%","top_outcome_probability":0.66,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.66,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":42.02,"updated_at":"2026-06-22T08:56:01.782356Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T08:56:01.782356Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.311413Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","chart_24h":[0.0,4.02,4.04,112.1,250.1,332.1,752.71,1348.73,1359.42],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T0.25","event_id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T0.25","question":"Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.25%?","group_item_title":"At least 0.25%","description":"If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 0.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.33999999999999997],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T19:59:00Z","volume":42.02,"volume_24hr":42.02,"prob_24h_change":0.66,"volume_24h_change":42.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.515429496765137,"normalized_volume":4.139544486999512,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T07:24:28.207328Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.472538Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","event_title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.15,0.15,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T1.25","event_id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T1.25","question":"Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.25%?","group_item_title":"At least 1.25%","description":"If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 1.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T19:59:00Z","volume":0.01,"volume_24hr":0.01,"prob_24h_change":0.49,"volume_24h_change":0.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.000031594670872436836,"normalized_volume":0.000028964586817892268,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T06:45:33.862495Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T06:45:33.862495Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.472538Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","event_title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T1.50","event_id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T1.50","question":"Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.50%?","group_item_title":"At least 1.50%","description":"If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 1.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T19:59:00Z","volume":0.01,"volume_24hr":0.01,"prob_24h_change":0.49,"volume_24h_change":0.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.000031594670872436836,"normalized_volume":0.000028964586817892268,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T06:45:33.862495Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T06:45:33.862495Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.472538Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","event_title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T0.50","event_id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T0.50","question":"Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.50%?","group_item_title":"At least 0.50%","description":"If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 0.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T19:59:00Z","volume":54.7,"volume_24hr":54.7,"prob_24h_change":0.45,"volume_24h_change":54.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.156875133514404,"normalized_volume":4.727593421936035,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T08:57:00.506943Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T08:56:01.902458Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.472538Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","event_title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.41,0.44,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T0.75","event_id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T0.75","question":"Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.75%?","group_item_title":"At least 0.75%","description":"If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 0.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.6799999999999999],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.009999999999999953,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T19:59:00Z","volume":2.01,"volume_24hr":2.01,"prob_24h_change":0.32,"volume_24h_change":2.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.3874848783016205,"normalized_volume":0.35522887110710144,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T05:26:16.853982Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T05:26:16.853982Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.472538Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","event_title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T1.00","event_id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T1.00","question":"Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.00%?","group_item_title":"At least 1.00%","description":"If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T19:59:00Z","volume":0.01,"volume_24hr":0.01,"prob_24h_change":0.25,"volume_24h_change":0.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.000031594670872436836,"normalized_volume":0.000028964586817892268,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T02:16:24.639308Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T02:16:24.639308Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.472538Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","event_title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T2.50","event_id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T2.50","question":"Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 2.50%?","group_item_title":"At least 2.50%","description":"If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 2.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T19:59:00Z","volume":33.01,"volume_24hr":33.01,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":33.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9688496589660645,"normalized_volume":3.6384644508361816,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T00:48:44.971484Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T00:48:44.971484Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.472538Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","event_title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T2.25","event_id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T2.25","question":"Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 2.25%?","group_item_title":"At least 2.25%","description":"If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 2.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T19:59:00Z","volume":38.0,"volume_24hr":38.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":38.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.28297758102417,"normalized_volume":3.926443099975586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T01:13:37.019551Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T01:13:37.019551Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.472538Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","event_title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T1.75","event_id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T1.75","question":"Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.75%?","group_item_title":"At least 1.75%","description":"If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 1.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T19:59:00Z","volume":441.01,"volume_24hr":441.01,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":441.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.84031867980957,"normalized_volume":10.854677200317383,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T05:53:46.185877Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T05:52:44.744339Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.472538Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","event_title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T2.00","event_id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T2.00","question":"Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 2.00%?","group_item_title":"At least 2.00%","description":"If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 2.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T19:59:00Z","volume":100.02,"volume_24hr":100.02,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":100.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.797389507293701,"normalized_volume":6.23154354095459,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T05:53:46.185877Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T05:52:44.744339Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.472538Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","event_title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.05,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T2.75","event_id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T2.75","question":"Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 2.75%?","group_item_title":"At least 2.75%","description":"If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 2.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T19:59:00Z","volume":114.01,"volume_24hr":114.01,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":114.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.184800624847412,"normalized_volume":6.586705207824707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T05:53:46.185877Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T05:52:44.744339Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.472538Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","event_title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.08,0.08,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T3.00","event_id":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","slug":"KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T3.00","question":"Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 3.00%?","group_item_title":"At least 3.00%","description":"If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-21T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T21:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T19:59:00Z","volume":534.61,"volume_24hr":534.61,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":534.61,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.598796844482422,"normalized_volume":11.550015449523926,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T05:53:46.185877Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T05:52:44.744339Z","added_at":"2026-06-21T22:00:52.472538Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspxfomc/sp-500-move-on-july-fomc-day/kxspxfomc-26jul29","event_title":"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.03,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSPXFOMC-26JUL29","as_of":"2026-06-22T09:09:18.026246Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?\" — top market at 2% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}