{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21","as_of":"2026-10-31T11:43:03.843850Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff?\" — 3 markets; highest \"Before Jan 21, 2029\" at 84% as of 2026-10-31 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstaffpardon/will-trump-issue-a-blanket-pardon-for-administration-staff/kxstaffpardon-29jan21"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21","ticker":"KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21","slug":"KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21","title":"Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-21T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4209.62,"volume_24hr":3632.24,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.195392608642578,"normalized_volume":18.614013671875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4025.37,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 21, 2029","top_outcome_probability":0.84,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-31T08:44:02.260938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T08:44:02.260938Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T21:07:29.295590Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstaffpardon/will-trump-issue-a-blanket-pardon-for-administration-staff/kxstaffpardon-29jan21","chart_24h":[0.0,59.0,117.99,143.24,3089.24,3632.24],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":3,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21-28JAN01","event_id":"KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21","slug":"KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21-28JAN01","question":"Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If Trump issues a single pardon that names at least 25 Trump administration staff, or that covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area, before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if, during Trump's current Presidential term and before the deadline date, a single presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve names at least 25 Trump administration staff or covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area.\n\nTrump administration staff refers to officials and employees of the executive branch (the Executive Office of the President, the executive departments, federal agencies, and the armed forces) who served at any time after Jan 20, 2025. Contractors and other non-employees are not Trump administration staff.\n\nA pardon covers staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area if it applies to everyone who held a role, worked at an agency, or worked on a policy, without naming each of them. The group must be defined by executive branch service. A single pardon is one proclamation, executive order, or warrant of clemency. A pardon counts even if no recipient has been charged with a crime, and even if a recipient rejects it.\n\nExamples:\nOne proclamation pardoning all officers and employees of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement → resolves to Yes\nOne proclamation pardoning all federal personnel for conduct relating to immigration enforcement → resolves to Yes\nOne warrant naming 30 White House aides → resolves to Yes\n40 separate warrants issued on the same day, each naming one aide → resolves to No\n\nThe following do NOT count:\nSeparate pardons that each name fewer than 25 staff, even if together they name more\nPardons defined only by an offense or event and open to people regardless of executive branch service, unless the pardon names at least 25 Trump administration staff\nPardons that cover only people whose executive branch service ended before Jan 20, 2025\nState pardons","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":968.25,"volume_24hr":568.25,"prob_24h_change":-0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":543.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.356882095336914,"normalized_volume":14.711572647094727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-31T08:44:02.345064Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T08:44:02.345064Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T21:07:29.627886Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstaffpardon/will-trump-issue-a-blanket-pardon-for-administration-staff/kxstaffpardon-29jan21","event_title":"Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff?","chart_24h":[0.36,0.33]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21-27JAN01","event_id":"KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21","slug":"KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21-27JAN01","question":"Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If Trump issues a single pardon that names at least 25 Trump administration staff, or that covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area, before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if, during Trump's current Presidential term and before the deadline date, a single presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve names at least 25 Trump administration staff or covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area.\n\nTrump administration staff refers to officials and employees of the executive branch (the Executive Office of the President, the executive departments, federal agencies, and the armed forces) who served at any time after Jan 20, 2025. Contractors and other non-employees are not Trump administration staff.\n\nA pardon covers staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area if it applies to everyone who held a role, worked at an agency, or worked on a policy, without naming each of them. The group must be defined by executive branch service. A single pardon is one proclamation, executive order, or warrant of clemency. A pardon counts even if no recipient has been charged with a crime, and even if a recipient rejects it.\n\nExamples:\nOne proclamation pardoning all officers and employees of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement → resolves to Yes\nOne proclamation pardoning all federal personnel for conduct relating to immigration enforcement → resolves to Yes\nOne warrant naming 30 White House aides → resolves to Yes\n40 separate warrants issued on the same day, each naming one aide → resolves to No\n\nThe following do NOT count:\nSeparate pardons that each name fewer than 25 staff, even if together they name more\nPardons defined only by an offense or event and open to people regardless of executive branch service, unless the pardon names at least 25 Trump administration staff\nPardons that cover only people whose executive branch service ended before Jan 20, 2025\nState pardons","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":3122.99,"volume_24hr":3063.99,"prob_24h_change":-0.09,"volume_24h_change":3063.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.588157653808594,"normalized_volume":20.145355224609375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-31T08:01:17.516947Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T08:01:17.516947Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T21:07:29.627886Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstaffpardon/will-trump-issue-a-blanket-pardon-for-administration-staff/kxstaffpardon-29jan21","event_title":"Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21-29JAN21","event_id":"KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21","slug":"KXSTAFFPARDON-29JAN21-29JAN21","question":"Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff before Jan 21, 2029?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 21, 2029","description":"If Trump issues a single pardon that names at least 25 Trump administration staff, or that covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area, before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if, during Trump's current Presidential term and before the deadline date, a single presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve names at least 25 Trump administration staff or covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area.\n\nTrump administration staff refers to officials and employees of the executive branch (the Executive Office of the President, the executive departments, federal agencies, and the armed forces) who served at any time after Jan 20, 2025. Contractors and other non-employees are not Trump administration staff.\n\nA pardon covers staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area if it applies to everyone who held a role, worked at an agency, or worked on a policy, without naming each of them. The group must be defined by executive branch service. A single pardon is one proclamation, executive order, or warrant of clemency. A pardon counts even if no recipient has been charged with a crime, and even if a recipient rejects it.\n\nExamples:\nOne proclamation pardoning all officers and employees of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement → resolves to Yes\nOne proclamation pardoning all federal personnel for conduct relating to immigration enforcement → resolves to Yes\nOne warrant naming 30 White House aides → resolves to Yes\n40 separate warrants issued on the same day, each naming one aide → resolves to No\n\nThe following do NOT count:\nSeparate pardons that each name fewer than 25 staff, even if together they name more\nPardons defined only by an offense or event and open to people regardless of executive branch service, unless the pardon names at least 25 Trump administration staff\nPardons that cover only people whose executive branch service ended before Jan 20, 2025\nState pardons","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-21T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-21T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":118.38,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.115363597869873,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T01:35:50.094557Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T01:35:50.094557Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T21:07:29.627886Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstaffpardon/will-trump-issue-a-blanket-pardon-for-administration-staff/kxstaffpardon-29jan21","event_title":"Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff?","chart_24h":null}]}