{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","ticker":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","slug":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","title":"Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33737.020000000004,"volume_24hr":729.96,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.827234268188477,"normalized_volume":27.527395248413086,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":16327.130000000001,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Shabana Mahmood","top_outcome_probability":0.18,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:54:49.370136Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:54:49.370136Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarmercableave/who-will-leave-their-position-in-starmers-cabinet-before-july/kxstarmercableave-26may","chart_24h":[1.0,2.0,57.0,430.96,429.96,429.96,529.96,729.96],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-EMIL","event_id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","slug":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-EMIL","question":"Will Ed Miliband be out as Energy Secretary before July 2026?","group_item_title":"Ed Miliband","description":"If Ed Miliband leaves as Energy Secretary before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEd Miliband must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nNote: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":3443.26,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.19999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.796804428100586,"normalized_volume":19.313947677612305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:33:46.793679Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:33:46.793679Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarmercableave/who-will-leave-their-position-in-starmers-cabinet-before-july/kxstarmercableave-26may","event_title":"Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-RREE","event_id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","slug":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-RREE","question":"Will Rachel Reeves be out as Chancellor before July 2026?","group_item_title":"Rachel Reeves","description":"If Rachel Reeves leaves as Chancellor before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRachel Reeves must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nNote: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.12000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":2325.91,"volume_24hr":529.96,"prob_24h_change":-0.87,"volume_24h_change":528.96,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.314473152160645,"normalized_volume":17.49873924255371,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:54:49.627146Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:54:49.627146Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarmercableave/who-will-leave-their-position-in-starmers-cabinet-before-july/kxstarmercableave-26may","event_title":"Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?","chart_24h":[0.98,0.98,0.98,0.6,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-WSTR","event_id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","slug":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-WSTR","question":"Will Wes Streeting be out as Health Secretary before July 2026?","group_item_title":"Wes Streeting","description":"If Wes Streeting leaves as Health Secretary before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nWes Streeting must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nNote: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-14T14:49:23Z","volume":18852.15,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.218090057373047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-05-15T14:50:41.054737Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-15T13:51:46.135232Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarmercableave/who-will-leave-their-position-in-starmers-cabinet-before-july/kxstarmercableave-26may","event_title":"Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-SMAH","event_id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","slug":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-SMAH","question":"Will Shabana Mahmood be out as Home Secretary before July 2026?","group_item_title":"Shabana Mahmood","description":"If Shabana Mahmood leaves as Home Secretary before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nShabana Mahmood must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nNote: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":2463.99,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.75994873046875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T10:57:59.599456Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T10:57:59.599456Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarmercableave/who-will-leave-their-position-in-starmers-cabinet-before-july/kxstarmercableave-26may","event_title":"Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-JREY","event_id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","slug":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-JREY","question":"Will Jonathan Reynolds be out as Chief Whip before July 2026?","group_item_title":"Jonathan Reynolds","description":"If Jonathan Reynolds leaves as Chief Whip before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nJonathan Reynolds must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nNote: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":2554.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.923437118530273,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:46:33.800051Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:46:33.800051Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarmercableave/who-will-leave-their-position-in-starmers-cabinet-before-july/kxstarmercableave-26may","event_title":"Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-PMCF","event_id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","slug":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-PMCF","question":"Will Pat McFadden be out as Work and Pensions Secretary before July 2026?","group_item_title":"Pat McFadden","description":"If Pat McFadden leaves as Work and Pensions Secretary before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPat McFadden must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nNote: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":2340.56,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.527084350585938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T10:57:59.599456Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T10:57:59.599456Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarmercableave/who-will-leave-their-position-in-starmers-cabinet-before-july/kxstarmercableave-26may","event_title":"Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-DLAM","event_id":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","slug":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-DLAM","question":"Will David Lammy be out as Deputy PM before July 2026?","group_item_title":"David Lammy","description":"If David Lammy leaves as Deputy PM before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDavid Lammy must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nNote: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":1757.15,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.256301879882812,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T10:57:59.599456Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T10:57:59.599456Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstarmercableave/who-will-leave-their-position-in-starmers-cabinet-before-july/kxstarmercableave-26may","event_title":"Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","as_of":"2026-06-21T14:09:38.395638Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?\" — top market at 11% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}